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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 64%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$8.03

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,800
Combined PnL+$54.85
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares140
Combined PnL-$46.82
Up — 64%Down — 36%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$1,221.84

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$12.16

Record

91%

26779-2517 (29296)

PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$289.71

Value

$294.87

PnL

+$5.16

Record

51%

9592-9177 (18769)

Both legs:

Up$227.6377.2¢+$67.24
Down$62.088.5¢-$62.08
BL
blue.birds
Up

Invested

$168.02

Value

$163.56

PnL

-$4.46

Record

51%

11083-10569 (21652)

MayorMamdani
Up

Invested

$122.6

Value

$148.41

PnL

+$25.82

Record

55%

50634-42081 (92715)

AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$127.12

Value

$115.9

PnL

-$11.22

Record

48%

5573-6007 (11580)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$45.01

Value

$55

PnL

+$9.99

Record

67%

101397-49715 (151112)

AS
asidjasiodjaARB<$100
Up

Invested

$22.54

Value

$23.97

PnL

+$1.43

Record

61%

97755-61856 (159611)

Both legs:

Down$6.182.6¢-$6.18
Up$16.3668.3¢+$7.61
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$13.49

Value

$20

PnL

+$6.51

Record

65%

128751-68998 (197749)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$8.55

Value

$9.24

PnL

+$0.69

Record

66%

129276-66666 (195942)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$18.7

Value

$21.95

PnL

+$3.26

Record

48%

9803-10718 (20521)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$19.47

Value

$31.56

PnL

+$12.09

Record

57%

76514-58860 (135374)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.39

Value

—

PnL

-$20.39

Record

63%

41692-24326 (66018)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.2

Value

—

PnL

-$13.2

Record

49%

79812-83277 (163089)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.06

Value

—

PnL

-$5.06

Record

56%

59680-46278 (105958)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.11

Value

—

PnL

-$7.11

Record

52%

93062-87484 (180546)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.07

Value

—

PnL

-$1.07

Record

65%

113900-60785 (174685)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9e5ef203...6a6771
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793816100

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $1.2K

+$12.16
PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$5.16
BL

blue.birds

Up — $163.56

-$4.46

MayorMamdani

Up — $148.41

+$25.82
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $115.9

-$11.22
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $55

+$9.99
AS

asidjasiodja

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$1.43
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

+$6.51
AS

asdaefef

Up — $9.24

+$0.69

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $21.95

+$3.26
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