Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

Total Value

$417.48

Combined PnL

-$121

Down

8 of 16 top traders (50%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down8 traders

Total Value$417.48

Total Shares417

Combined PnL+$12.11

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,106

Combined PnL-$133.11

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 76.9¢	$161.85	$176.26	+$14.41	51% 9592-9177 (18769)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$118.75	$120	+$1.25	91% 26779-2517 (29296)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 91.1¢	$85.13	$74.63	-$10.5	48% 5573-6007 (11580)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 1.4¢	$5.89	—	-$5.88	46% 39431-46955 (86386)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 31.3¢	$62.92	—	-$62.92	67% 101397-49715 (151112)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 17.2¢	$37.05	—	-$37.05	57% 76514-58860 (135374)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 94.4¢	$12.64	$12.13	-$0.52	61% 97755-61856 (159611)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86.6¢	$9.7	$11.2	+$1.5	66% 129276-66666 (195942)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 80.2¢	$48.93	$10	+$5.18	65% 128751-68998 (197749)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 36.3¢	$28.31	—	-$9.01	63% 60059-34551 (94610)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 81.1¢	$7.99	$8.27	+$0.28	51% 11083-10569 (21652)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 66.6¢	$4.5	$5	+$0.5	52% 93062-87484 (180546)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 5.5¢	$11.35	—	-$11.35	49% 79812-83277 (163089)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 1.1¢	$0.67	—	-$0.67	59% 63429-44473 (107902)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 8.7¢	$5.11	—	-$5.11	55% 50634-42081 (92715)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 4.3¢	$1.11	—	-$1.11	56% 59680-46278 (105958)