Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 85%
$1.9K
$173.02
Smart Money Signal
11 of 13 top traders (85%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 99.1Β’ | $625.13 | $631 | +$5.87 | 29% 11455-27656 (39111) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 82.6Β’ | $557.23 | $674.99 | +$117.76 | 57% 76514-58860 (135374) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 76.7Β’ | $126.48 | $165 | +$38.52 | 51% 9592-9177 (18769) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $145.62 | $147.09 | +$1.47 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 92.8Β’ | $126.01 | $128 | +$1.99 | 49% 79812-83277 (163089) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 88.3Β’ | $48.38 | $50 | +$1.62 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 92Β’ | $43.79 | $47.6 | +$3.81 | 46% 39431-46955 (86386) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 76.1Β’ | $32.21 | $42.33 | +$10.12 | 51% 11083-10569 (21652) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.3Β’ | $15.26 | $20 | +$4.74 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.2Β’ | $4.31 | $5.38 | +$1.07 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 80.2Β’ | $4.06 | $5.06 | +$1 | 61% 97755-61856 (159611) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.51 | β | -$0.51 | 59% 63429-44473 (107902) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 7.4Β’ | $14.44 | β | -$14.44 | 67% 101397-49715 (151112) |
Invested
$625.13
Value
$631
PnL
+$5.87
Record
29%
11455-27656 (39111)
Invested
$557.23
Value
$674.99
PnL
+$117.76
Record
57%
76514-58860 (135374)
Invested
$126.48
Value
$165
PnL
+$38.52
Record
51%
9592-9177 (18769)
Invested
$145.62
Value
$147.09
PnL
+$1.47
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$126.01
Value
$128
PnL
+$1.99
Record
49%
79812-83277 (163089)
Invested
$48.38
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.62
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$43.79
Value
$47.6
PnL
+$3.81
Record
46%
39431-46955 (86386)
Invested
$32.21
Value
$42.33
PnL
+$10.12
Record
51%
11083-10569 (21652)
Invested
$15.26
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.74
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
Invested
$4.31
Value
$5.38
PnL
+$1.07
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$4.06
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$1
Record
61%
97755-61856 (159611)
Invested
$0.51
Value
β
PnL
-$0.51
Record
59%
63429-44473 (107902)
Invested
$14.44
Value
β
PnL
-$14.44
Record
67%
101397-49715 (151112)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Up β $631
uninformedfloww
Up β $674.99
ply-pm2
Up β $165
hoodquant
Up β $147.09

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $128
asdcaxz
Up β $50

pspspsps5
Up β $47.6
blue.birds
Up β $42.33
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $20
asdaefef
Up β $5.38