Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 84%
$826.89
$105.49
Smart Money Signal
16 of 19 top traders (84%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $98.87 | $124 | +$25.13 | 67% 101397-49715 (151112) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.2¢ | $108.56 | $111.71 | +$3.15 | 91% 26779-2517 (29296) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 76.3¢ | $76.31 | $100 | +$23.69 | 57% 76514-58860 (135374) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $89.06 | $91.1 | +$2.04 | 46% 39431-46955 (86386) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $59 | $59.28 | +$0.28 | 49% 79812-83277 (163089) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 99.1¢ | $52.65 | $53.14 | +$0.49 | 12% 18560-133902 (152462) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $33.88 | $50 | +$16.12 | 48% 5573-6007 (11580) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $38.16 | $50 | +$11.84 | 56% 59680-46278 (105958) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $32.84 | $47.02 | +$14.18 | 51% 9592-9177 (18769) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $45.85 | $45.17 | -$0.68 | 61% 97755-61856 (159611) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 66.6¢ | $19.98 | $30 | +$10.02 | 51% 11083-10569 (21652) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $24.8 | $25 | +$0.2 | 63% 60059-34551 (94610) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $18.21 | $18.06 | -$0.15 | 52% 93062-87484 (180546) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $8.61 | $11.28 | +$2.67 | 62% 45257-28328 (73585) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $5.45 | $6.28 | +$0.83 | 66% 129276-66666 (195942) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.8¢ | $20.39 | — | -$2.82 | 65% 128751-68998 (197749) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 86.8¢ | $4.22 | $4.86 | +$0.64 | 63% 41692-24326 (66018) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 59% 63429-44473 (107902) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.3¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 55% 50634-42081 (92715) |
Invested
$98.87
Value
$124
PnL
+$25.13
Record
67%
101397-49715 (151112)
Invested
$108.56
Value
$111.71
PnL
+$3.15
Record
91%
26779-2517 (29296)
Invested
$76.31
Value
$100
PnL
+$23.69
Record
57%
76514-58860 (135374)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$89.06
Value
$91.1
PnL
+$2.04
Record
46%
39431-46955 (86386)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$59
Value
$59.28
PnL
+$0.28
Record
49%
79812-83277 (163089)
Invested
$52.65
Value
$53.14
PnL
+$0.49
Record
12%
18560-133902 (152462)
Invested
$33.88
Value
$50
PnL
+$16.12
Record
48%
5573-6007 (11580)
Invested
$38.16
Value
$50
PnL
+$11.84
Record
56%
59680-46278 (105958)
Invested
$32.84
Value
$47.02
PnL
+$14.18
Record
51%
9592-9177 (18769)
Invested
$45.85
Value
$45.17
PnL
-$0.68
Record
61%
97755-61856 (159611)
Invested
$19.98
Value
$30
PnL
+$10.02
Record
51%
11083-10569 (21652)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$24.8
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.2
Record
63%
60059-34551 (94610)
Invested
$18.21
Value
$18.06
PnL
-$0.15
Record
52%
93062-87484 (180546)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.61
Value
$11.28
PnL
+$2.67
Record
62%
45257-28328 (73585)
Invested
$5.45
Value
$6.28
PnL
+$0.83
Record
66%
129276-66666 (195942)
Invested
$20.39
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
65%
128751-68998 (197749)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.22
Value
$4.86
PnL
+$0.64
Record
63%
41692-24326 (66018)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
59%
63429-44473 (107902)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
55%
50634-42081 (92715)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $124
hoodquant
Down — $111.71
uninformedfloww
Down — $100
pspspsps5
Down — $91.1
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $59.28
Hsilverbasher
Down — $53.14
asdcaxz
Down — $50
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $50
ply-pm2
Down — $47.02
asidjasiodja
Down — $45.17