Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 71%
$954.88
$67.68
Smart Money Signal
12 of 17 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 96.4¢ | $630.63 | $646.91 | +$16.28 | 12% 18554-133897 (152451) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 77.2¢ | $66.81 | $80 | +$13.19 | 48% 5542-5979 (11521) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.3¢ | $27.85 | $41.98 | +$14.13 | 51% 9566-9156 (18722) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $34.84 | $41 | +$6.16 | 55% 50608-42054 (92662) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $23.98 | $26.49 | +$2.5 | 61% 97725-61833 (159558) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $20 | $40 | +$20 | 58% 51753-37796 (89549) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 46.8¢ | $9.74 | $18.37 | +$8.62 | 67% 101382-49705 (151087) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $14.08 | — | -$14.08 | 29% 11448-27648 (39096) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $9.05 | $11.13 | +$2.08 | 66% 129245-66642 (195887) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 52.7¢ | $11.08 | $21 | +$9.92 | 58% 62267-45634 (107901) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $7.73 | $15 | +$7.27 | 57% 76504-58856 (135360) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $7.4 | $8 | +$0.6 | 52% 93032-87450 (180482) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 46% 39414-46931 (86345) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 48.7¢ | $2.44 | $5 | +$2.56 | 62% 45238-28305 (73543) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 63% 60039-34531 (94570) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $4.96 | — | -$4.96 | 49% 79789-83251 (163040) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.6¢ | $14.34 | — | -$13.3 | 65% 128717-68964 (197681) |
Invested
$630.63
Value
$646.91
PnL
+$16.28
Record
12%
18554-133897 (152451)
Invested
$66.81
Value
$80
PnL
+$13.19
Record
48%
5542-5979 (11521)
Invested
$27.85
Value
$41.98
PnL
+$14.13
Record
51%
9566-9156 (18722)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$34.84
Value
$41
PnL
+$6.16
Record
55%
50608-42054 (92662)
Invested
$23.98
Value
$26.49
PnL
+$2.5
Record
61%
97725-61833 (159558)
Invested
$20
Value
$40
PnL
+$20
Record
58%
51753-37796 (89549)
Invested
$9.74
Value
$18.37
PnL
+$8.62
Record
67%
101382-49705 (151087)
Invested
$14.08
Value
—
PnL
-$14.08
Record
29%
11448-27648 (39096)
Invested
$9.05
Value
$11.13
PnL
+$2.08
Record
66%
129245-66642 (195887)
Invested
$11.08
Value
$21
PnL
+$9.92
Record
58%
62267-45634 (107901)
Invested
$7.73
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.27
Record
57%
76504-58856 (135360)
Invested
$7.4
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
93032-87450 (180482)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
46%
39414-46931 (86345)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.44
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.56
Record
62%
45238-28305 (73543)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
63%
60039-34531 (94570)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.96
Value
—
PnL
-$4.96
Record
49%
79789-83251 (163040)
Invested
$14.34
Value
—
PnL
-$13.3
Record
65%
128717-68964 (197681)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hsilverbasher
Down — $646.91
asdcaxz
Down — $80
ply-pm2
Down — $41.98
MayorMamdani
Down — $41
asidjasiodja
Down — $26.49
PBot-6
Down — $40
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $18.37
Hcrystallash
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $11.13
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $21