Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 76%
$964.51
-$382.42
Smart Money Signal
13 of 17 top traders (76%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.1¢ | $309.18 | $315.17 | +$5.99 | 91% 26742-2516 (29258) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 65.8¢ | $194.27 | $218.29 | +$24.03 | 51% 9566-9156 (18722) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 76.3¢ | $140.68 | $125.14 | -$15.54 | 51% 11049-10545 (21594) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Upavg 39.6¢ | $145.06 | — | -$145.06 | 48% 5542-5979 (11521) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $93.24 | $75 | -$18.24 | 63% 41674-24305 (65979) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 65.7¢ | $200.73 | — | -$200.73 | 57% 76504-58856 (135360) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $64.39 | $50 | -$14.39 | 58% 62267-45634 (107901) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $55.14 | $47 | -$8.14 | 61% 97725-61833 (159558) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90.6¢ | $34.44 | $38 | +$3.56 | 55% 50608-42054 (92662) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $23.38 | $27.5 | +$4.13 | 46% 39414-46931 (86345) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $28.07 | $20 | -$8.07 | 62% 45238-28305 (73543) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92.1¢ | $21.43 | $18.2 | -$3.23 | 66% 129245-66642 (195887) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95.3¢ | $18.61 | $17 | -$1.61 | 52% 93032-87450 (180482) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $6.5 | $8.21 | +$1.71 | 49% 79789-83251 (163040) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.5 | $5 | +$3.5 | 63% 60039-34531 (94570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $55.87 | — | -$1.73 | 65% 128717-68964 (197681) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.4¢ | $8.59 | — | -$8.59 | 56% 59660-46262 (105922) |
Invested
$309.18
Value
$315.17
PnL
+$5.99
Record
91%
26742-2516 (29258)
Invested
$194.27
Value
$218.29
PnL
+$24.03
Record
51%
9566-9156 (18722)
Invested
$140.68
Value
$125.14
PnL
-$15.54
Record
51%
11049-10545 (21594)
Invested
$145.06
Value
—
PnL
-$145.06
Record
48%
5542-5979 (11521)
ohioism<$100Invested
$93.24
Value
$75
PnL
-$18.24
Record
63%
41674-24305 (65979)
Invested
$200.73
Value
—
PnL
-$200.73
Record
57%
76504-58856 (135360)
Invested
$64.39
Value
$50
PnL
-$14.39
Record
58%
62267-45634 (107901)
Invested
$55.14
Value
$47
PnL
-$8.14
Record
61%
97725-61833 (159558)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$34.44
Value
$38
PnL
+$3.56
Record
55%
50608-42054 (92662)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$23.38
Value
$27.5
PnL
+$4.13
Record
46%
39414-46931 (86345)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$28.07
Value
$20
PnL
-$8.07
Record
62%
45238-28305 (73543)
Invested
$21.43
Value
$18.2
PnL
-$3.23
Record
66%
129245-66642 (195887)
Invested
$18.61
Value
$17
PnL
-$1.61
Record
52%
93032-87450 (180482)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$6.5
Value
$8.21
PnL
+$1.71
Record
49%
79789-83251 (163040)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.5
Record
63%
60039-34531 (94570)
Invested
$55.87
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
65%
128717-68964 (197681)
Invested
$8.59
Value
—
PnL
-$8.59
Record
56%
59660-46262 (105922)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $315.17
ply-pm2
Down — $218.29
blue.birds
Down — $125.14
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
ohioism
Down — $75
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $50
asidjasiodja
Down — $47
MayorMamdani
Down — $38
pspspsps5
Down — $27.5