Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 64%

Total Value

$613.7

Combined PnL

-$135.73

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down9 traders

Total Value$613.7

Total Shares614

Combined PnL-$16.62

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares270

Combined PnL-$119.12

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98.2¢	$339.1	$345.23	+$6.13	91% 26742-2516 (29258)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 82.7¢	$131.99	$95.26	-$36.73	51% 9566-9156 (18722)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 18.5¢	$26.96	—	-$26.96	51% 11049-10545 (21594)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 81.1¢	$40.56	$50	+$9.44	74% 104319-36841 (141160)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Downavg 99.1¢	$44.97	$45.39	+$0.42	29% 11448-27648 (39096)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$65.53	—	-$65.53	48% 5542-5979 (11521)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Downavg 80.3¢	$19.61	$24.44	+$4.83	49% 79789-83251 (163040)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 28.5¢	$35.82	—	-$21.13	65% 128717-68964 (197681)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 85¢	$21.91	$21.01	-$0.9	66% 129245-66642 (195887)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 87.8¢	$14.28	$13.28	-$1.01	61% 97725-61833 (159558)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 81.1¢	$9.66	$8.1	-$1.56	52% 93032-87450 (180482)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 41.2¢	$8.24	$11.01	+$2.77	67% 101382-49705 (151087)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$7.46	—	-$2.51	63% 60039-34531 (94570)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 19.1¢	$2.98	—	-$2.98	55% 50608-42054 (92662)