Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 55%
$415.15
-$75.72
Smart Money Signal
7 of 12 top traders (58%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.1Β’ | $165.44 | $170.4 | +$4.95 | 91% 26742-2516 (29258) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 98Β’ | $109.76 | $112 | +$2.24 | 58% 39485-28519 (68004) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 61Β’ | $105.64 | $94.56 | -$11.09 | 51% 9566-9156 (18722) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.4Β’ | $56.66 | β | -$56.66 | 48% 5542-5979 (11521) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $17.57 | $20.1 | +$2.53 | 65% 128717-68964 (197681) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.5Β’ | $10.36 | β | -$10.36 | 51% 11049-10545 (21594) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 38.5Β’ | $4.26 | $11.07 | +$6.81 | 56% 59660-46262 (105922) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.7Β’ | $8.35 | β | -$8.35 | 29% 11448-27648 (39096) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $4.98 | $7 | +$2.02 | 61% 97725-61833 (159558) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $5.13 | β | -$5.13 | 55% 50608-42054 (92662) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $0.01 | $0.02 | +$0.01 | 63% 60039-34531 (94570) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.7Β’ | $2.69 | β | -$2.69 | 49% 79789-83251 (163040) |
Invested
$165.44
Value
$170.4
PnL
+$4.95
Record
91%
26742-2516 (29258)
Invested
$109.76
Value
$112
PnL
+$2.24
Record
58%
39485-28519 (68004)
Invested
$105.64
Value
$94.56
PnL
-$11.09
Record
51%
9566-9156 (18722)
Invested
$56.66
Value
β
PnL
-$56.66
Record
48%
5542-5979 (11521)
Invested
$17.57
Value
$20.1
PnL
+$2.53
Record
65%
128717-68964 (197681)
Invested
$10.36
Value
β
PnL
-$10.36
Record
51%
11049-10545 (21594)
Invested
$4.26
Value
$11.07
PnL
+$6.81
Record
56%
59660-46262 (105922)
Invested
$8.35
Value
β
PnL
-$8.35
Record
29%
11448-27648 (39096)
Invested
$4.98
Value
$7
PnL
+$2.02
Record
61%
97725-61833 (159558)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.13
Value
β
PnL
-$5.13
Record
55%
50608-42054 (92662)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.02
PnL
+$0.01
Record
63%
60039-34531 (94570)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.69
Value
β
PnL
-$2.69
Record
49%
79789-83251 (163040)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $170.4
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $112
ply-pm2
Up β $94.56
asdcaxz
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $20.1
blue.birds
CTRDown β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $11.07
Hcrystallash
CTRDown β $0
asidjasiodja
Up β $7

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0