Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 81%
$382.71
-$60.52
Smart Money Signal
13 of 17 top traders (76%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $80.16 | $86.31 | +$6.15 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $73.61 | $66.14 | -$7.47 | 52% 8720-8176 (16896) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $50.68 | $33.67 | -$17.01 | 47% 1881-2131 (4012) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $30.82 | $35 | +$4.18 | 54% 46462-38844 (85306) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $29.09 | — | -$29.09 | 56% 8529-6629 (15158) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $25.01 | $32.76 | +$7.75 | 53% 4711-4105 (8816) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $10.19 | $20 | +$9.81 | 62% 44500-27446 (71946) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $19.19 | $39.16 | +$19.97 | 58% 38706-27758 (66464) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.3¢ | $17.69 | $19.77 | +$2.08 | 64% 25690-14265 (39955) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1¢ | $65.39 | — | -$65.39 | 44% 6422-8027 (14449) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $11.7 | $14.37 | +$2.67 | 61% 96362-60751 (157113) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 46.9¢ | $10.79 | $23 | +$12.21 | 58% 61328-44778 (106106) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.7¢ | $9.6 | — | -$9.6 | 55% 18785-15358 (34143) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.15 | $5.19 | +$1.04 | 52% 91694-86058 (177752) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.1 | $5.13 | +$1.03 | 66% 127563-65613 (193176) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $1.07 | $2.23 | +$1.16 | 47% 12949-14528 (27477) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20470-19540 (40010) |
Invested
$80.16
Value
$86.31
PnL
+$6.15
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$73.61
Value
$66.14
PnL
-$7.47
Record
52%
8720-8176 (16896)
Invested
$50.68
Value
$33.67
PnL
-$17.01
Record
47%
1881-2131 (4012)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$30.82
Value
$35
PnL
+$4.18
Record
54%
46462-38844 (85306)
Invested
$29.09
Value
—
PnL
-$29.09
Record
56%
8529-6629 (15158)
Invested
$25.01
Value
$32.76
PnL
+$7.75
Record
53%
4711-4105 (8816)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.19
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.81
Record
62%
44500-27446 (71946)
Invested
$19.19
Value
$39.16
PnL
+$19.97
Record
58%
38706-27758 (66464)
Invested
$17.69
Value
$19.77
PnL
+$2.08
Record
64%
25690-14265 (39955)
Invested
$65.39
Value
—
PnL
-$65.39
Record
44%
6422-8027 (14449)
Invested
$11.7
Value
$14.37
PnL
+$2.67
Record
61%
96362-60751 (157113)
Invested
$10.79
Value
$23
PnL
+$12.21
Record
58%
61328-44778 (106106)
Invested
$9.6
Value
—
PnL
-$9.6
Record
55%
18785-15358 (34143)
Invested
$4.15
Value
$5.19
PnL
+$1.04
Record
52%
91694-86058 (177752)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$1.03
Record
66%
127563-65613 (193176)
Invested
$1.07
Value
$2.23
PnL
+$1.16
Record
47%
12949-14528 (27477)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20470-19540 (40010)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $86.31
ply-pm2
Down — $66.14
asdcaxz
Down — $33.67
MayorMamdani
Down — $35
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $32.76
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $20
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $39.16
aaa221
Down — $19.77
suntori
CTRUp — $0