Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 71%
$1.8K
-$93.17
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $618.25 | $625.1 | +$6.85 | 93% 24712-1827 (26539) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 48.7¢ | $320 | $387.78 | +$67.78 | 47% 1881-2131 (4012) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 29.6¢ | $212.8 | — | -$212.8 | 52% 8720-8176 (16896) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $136.22 | $143.13 | +$6.91 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 72.5¢ | $163.99 | $226.13 | +$62.14 | 57% 72361-55060 (127421) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 50¢ | $61.69 | $106.35 | +$44.66 | 54% 46462-38844 (85306) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 48.6¢ | $52.32 | $75 | +$22.68 | 53% 4711-4105 (8816) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $60.54 | $55.84 | -$4.7 | 66% 127563-65613 (193176) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $54.84 | — | -$54.84 | 61% 96362-60751 (157113) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $36.81 | $45.86 | +$9.05 | 62% 52812-31706 (84518) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.5¢ | $27.35 | — | -$27.35 | 55% 18785-15358 (34143) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $20.48 | $31.05 | +$10.58 | 64% 25690-14265 (39955) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $19 | $20.65 | +$1.65 | 65% 126838-67771 (194609) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $20.35 | — | -$20.35 | 54% 8386-7193 (15579) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $13.85 | $15.16 | +$1.31 | 46% 6086-7026 (13112) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $14.03 | $13 | -$1.03 | 52% 91694-86058 (177752) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $4.1 | $10 | +$5.9 | 62% 44500-27446 (71946) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.6¢ | $8.9 | — | -$8.9 | 63% 40871-23500 (64371) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 42.2¢ | $4.46 | $7.89 | +$3.43 | 58% 61328-44778 (106106) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 56% 58856-45465 (104321) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $3.95 | $5 | +$1.05 | 65% 112816-59667 (172483) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20470-19540 (40010) |
Invested
$618.25
Value
$625.1
PnL
+$6.85
Record
93%
24712-1827 (26539)
Invested
$320
Value
$387.78
PnL
+$67.78
Record
47%
1881-2131 (4012)
Invested
$212.8
Value
—
PnL
-$212.8
Record
52%
8720-8176 (16896)
Invested
$136.22
Value
$143.13
PnL
+$6.91
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$163.99
Value
$226.13
PnL
+$62.14
Record
57%
72361-55060 (127421)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$61.69
Value
$106.35
PnL
+$44.66
Record
54%
46462-38844 (85306)
Invested
$52.32
Value
$75
PnL
+$22.68
Record
53%
4711-4105 (8816)
Invested
$60.54
Value
$55.84
PnL
-$4.7
Record
66%
127563-65613 (193176)
Invested
$54.84
Value
—
PnL
-$54.84
Record
61%
96362-60751 (157113)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$36.81
Value
$45.86
PnL
+$9.05
Record
62%
52812-31706 (84518)
Invested
$27.35
Value
—
PnL
-$27.35
Record
55%
18785-15358 (34143)
Invested
$20.48
Value
$31.05
PnL
+$10.58
Record
64%
25690-14265 (39955)
Invested
$19
Value
$20.65
PnL
+$1.65
Record
65%
126838-67771 (194609)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$20.35
Value
—
PnL
-$20.35
Record
54%
8386-7193 (15579)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$13.85
Value
$15.16
PnL
+$1.31
Record
46%
6086-7026 (13112)
Invested
$14.03
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.03
Record
52%
91694-86058 (177752)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.9
Record
62%
44500-27446 (71946)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.9
Record
63%
40871-23500 (64371)
Invested
$4.46
Value
$7.89
PnL
+$3.43
Record
58%
61328-44778 (106106)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
56%
58856-45465 (104321)
Invested
$3.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.05
Record
65%
112816-59667 (172483)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20470-19540 (40010)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $625.1
asdcaxz
Down — $387.78
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $143.13
uninformedfloww
Down — $226.13
MayorMamdani
Down — $106.35
blue.birds
Down — $75
asdaefef
Down — $55.84
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $45.86