Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 50%
$558.17
$4.97
Smart Money Signal
9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 71.2¢ | $175.03 | $185.87 | +$10.83 | 47% 1881-2131 (4012) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 75.9¢ | $101.18 | $106.76 | +$5.58 | 52% 8720-8176 (16896) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $85.08 | $131.79 | +$46.71 | 55% 18785-15358 (34143) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 74.1¢ | $57.64 | $43.49 | -$14.15 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $37.8 | $41.34 | +$3.54 | 65% 126838-67771 (194609) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $26.17 | $27.98 | +$5.93 | 64% 25690-14265 (39955) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 53% 4711-4105 (8816) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $8.48 | $11.3 | +$2.82 | 66% 127563-65613 (193176) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $11.95 | — | -$11.95 | 58% 61328-44778 (106106) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.3¢ | $11.23 | — | -$11.23 | 61% 96362-60751 (157113) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $9.34 | — | -$9.34 | 44% 6422-8027 (14449) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 93% 24712-1827 (26539) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.2¢ | $13.74 | — | -$13.74 | 54% 46462-38844 (85306) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 58% 38706-27758 (66464) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.6 | $4.64 | +$2.04 | 62% 44500-27446 (71946) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 56% 58856-45465 (104321) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 51% 20470-19540 (40010) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 91694-86058 (177752) |
Invested
$175.03
Value
$185.87
PnL
+$10.83
Record
47%
1881-2131 (4012)
Invested
$101.18
Value
$106.76
PnL
+$5.58
Record
52%
8720-8176 (16896)
Invested
$85.08
Value
$131.79
PnL
+$46.71
Record
55%
18785-15358 (34143)
Invested
$57.64
Value
$43.49
PnL
-$14.15
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$37.8
Value
$41.34
PnL
+$3.54
Record
65%
126838-67771 (194609)
Invested
$26.17
Value
$27.98
PnL
+$5.93
Record
64%
25690-14265 (39955)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
53%
4711-4105 (8816)
Invested
$8.48
Value
$11.3
PnL
+$2.82
Record
66%
127563-65613 (193176)
Invested
$11.95
Value
—
PnL
-$11.95
Record
58%
61328-44778 (106106)
Invested
$11.23
Value
—
PnL
-$11.23
Record
61%
96362-60751 (157113)
Invested
$9.34
Value
—
PnL
-$9.34
Record
44%
6422-8027 (14449)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
93%
24712-1827 (26539)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.74
Value
—
PnL
-$13.74
Record
54%
46462-38844 (85306)
Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
58%
38706-27758 (66464)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
$4.64
PnL
+$2.04
Record
62%
44500-27446 (71946)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
56%
58856-45465 (104321)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
51%
20470-19540 (40010)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
91694-86058 (177752)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
Down — $185.87
ply-pm2
Down — $106.76
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $131.79
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $43.49
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $41.34
aaa221
Down — $27.98
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $11.3
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp — $0