Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 60%
$172.83
-$37.93
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 87.7Β’ | $106.13 | $75 | -$3.18 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 81.4Β’ | $58.39 | $50 | -$8.39 | 51% 8411-7930 (16341) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $23.3 | β | -$23.3 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 91Β’ | $18.2 | $20 | +$1.8 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $15.12 | $15 | -$0.12 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $8.2 | $5.05 | -$3.15 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.4Β’ | $2.5 | β | -$2.5 | 62% 44284-27268 (71552) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $3.5 | $7.77 | +$4.28 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1Β’ | $2.62 | β | -$2.62 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 7Β’ | $0.75 | β | -$0.75 | 54% 15429-13318 (28747) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$106.13
Value
$75
PnL
-$3.18
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$58.39
Value
$50
PnL
-$8.39
Record
51%
8411-7930 (16341)
Invested
$23.3
Value
β
PnL
-$23.3
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.8
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$15.12
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.12
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
Invested
$8.2
Value
$5.05
PnL
-$3.15
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
β
PnL
-$2.5
Record
62%
44284-27268 (71552)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$7.77
PnL
+$4.28
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$2.62
Value
β
PnL
-$2.62
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
Invested
$0.75
Value
β
PnL
-$0.75
Record
54%
15429-13318 (28747)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $75
ply-pm2
Down β $50
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
Down β $20
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $15
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.05

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $7.77
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0