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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 75%

Total Value

$226.05

Combined PnL

-$301.08

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 13 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$226.05
Total Shares226
Combined PnL+$37.92
Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares586
Combined PnL-$339
Up — 31%Down — 69%
TM
tmsd-test
Up

Invested

$157.06

Value

$166.74

PnL

+$9.68

Record

54%

14578-12427 (27005)

PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$100.1

Value

—

PnL

-$100.1

Record

51%

8411-7930 (16341)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Up

Invested

$44.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$23.1

Record

64%

58907-33468 (92375)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$29.4

Value

—

PnL

-$29.4

Record

55%

18379-14972 (33351)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.17

Value

$9.31

PnL

+$5.14

Record

52%

91321-85769 (177090)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.21

Value

—

PnL

-$12.21

Record

58%

38498-27579 (66077)

wowitsamazingCTR
Down

Invested

$167.74

Value

—

PnL

-$167.74

Record

57%

12760-9487 (22247)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.08

Value

—

PnL

-$3.08

Record

58%

61090-44611 (105701)

YO
YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.81

Value

—

PnL

-$18.81

Record

53%

3729-3242 (6971)

AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

54%

15429-13318 (28747)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

56%

58635-45291 (103926)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.17

Value

—

PnL

-$4.17

Record

65%

112572-59423 (171995)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20375-19462 (39837)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x077f620d...fc5d52
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793562300

Traders in this Market

TM

tmsd-test

Up — $166.74

+$9.68
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$100.1

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $50

+$23.1
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$29.4
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $9.31

+$5.14
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.21

wowitsamazing

CTR

Down — $0

-$167.74
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.08
YO

YouSayUpISayDown

CTR

Down — $0

-$18.81
AS

aswfadq1555

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.1
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