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NoNoNoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: Real Valladolid CF 1 - 0 CD Castellón?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$3.01
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,350
Combined PnL+$4.21
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$1.2
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE pelik | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$1.12 | 99% 1565-4 (1569) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 85.1¢ | $478.15 | $309.8 | -$168.36 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 85.1¢ | $263.73 | $309.8 | +$46.07 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 11.6¢ | $214.42 | — | -$214.42 | |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Noavg 99¢ | $206.34 | $208.42 | +$2.08 | 99% 465-7 (472) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | $15.66 | $16.66 | +$1 | 36% 937-1647 (2584) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 13¢ | $1.04 | — | -$1.04 | 48% 2091-2257 (4348) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 39% 3653-5798 (9451) |
PE
pelikInvested
$1,123.77
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$1.12
Record
99%
1565-4 (1569)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$478.15
Value
$309.8
PnL
-$168.36
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
Both legs:
No$263.7385.1¢+$46.07
Yes$214.4211.6¢-$214.42
0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Invested
$206.34
Value
$208.42
PnL
+$2.08
Record
99%
465-7 (472)
LI
Limousin<$100Invested
$15.66
Value
$16.66
PnL
+$1
Record
36%
937-1647 (2584)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1.04
Value
—
PnL
-$1.04
Record
48%
2091-2257 (4348)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
39%
3653-5798 (9451)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9959c747...dd30aa
Slug
es2-vld-cas-2026-11-14-exact-score-1-0