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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was HULIGANI — but LEGION won instead.

Dota 2: HULIGANI vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner

Resolved LEGION. 35% of the top Polymarket traders held HULIGANI. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

23

HULIGANI 41%

Total Value

$28.1K

Combined PnL

$-6.0K

Smart Money Signal

HULIGANI

8 of 23 top traders (35%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

HULIGANI0%
LEGION100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

LEGION15 traders
Total Value$28.1K
Total Shares28,074
Combined PnL+$22.8K
HULIGANI8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares33,796
Combined PnL$-28.7K
LEGION — 65%HULIGANI — 35%
GX
gxxyy
LEGION

Invested

$17,678.14

Value

$11.7K

PnL

+$2.2K

Record

69%

521-229 (750)

Skritopoolniy
LEGION

Invested

$1,382.81

Value

$6.2K

PnL

+$11.0K

Record

47%

637-731 (1368)

GO
GooGooGaga1
LEGION

Invested

$11,370.72

Value

$4.6K

PnL

-$685.98

Record

77%

68-20 (88)

PO
PourpelNourpel
LEGION

Invested

$405.82

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

53%

667-598 (1265)

MA
madar78CTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$19,436.76

Value

—

PnL

$-17.0K

Record

67%

70-35 (105)

RA
RandomVibecoder
LEGION

Invested

$239.11

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

48%

855-909 (1764)

GT
gt7238
LEGION

Invested

$133.51

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$907.84

Record

45%

668-825 (1493)

XT
xtxpleasecallme
LEGION

Invested

$1,004.75

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$3.75

Record

35%

19622-37185 (56807)

0X
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$993.65

Value

—

PnL

-$993.65

Record

50%

564-572 (1136)

0X
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$1,701.83

Value

—

PnL

-$210

Record

58%

955-684 (1639)

FE
ferrariChampions2026
LEGION

Invested

$84.01

Value

$224.15

PnL

+$164.69

Record

42%

8168-11360 (19528)

Sunshine.SmileCTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$8,114.84

Value

—

PnL

$-8.1K

Record

58%

1973-1446 (3419)

XU
xuxuntaoCTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$2,107.09

Value

—

PnL

$-2.1K

Record

61%

116-74 (190)

VeryLucky888<$100
LEGION

Invested

$6.26

Value

$13.61

PnL

+$7.35

Record

58%

47503-34297 (81800)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
LEGION

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

52%

9018-8169 (17187)

GE
GeorgeReCTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$277.43

Value

—

PnL

-$277.43

Record

54%

1138-979 (2117)

Hawk.liveCTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$5,274.41

Value

—

PnL

-$433.76

Record

56%

695-537 (1232)

NO
nomoredreamCTR
HULIGANI

Invested

$5,493.74

Value

—

PnL

+$367.8

Record

61%

344-220 (564)

UN
UNIVERSEMVP
LEGION

Invested

$10,780.97

Value

—

PnL

+$4.3K

Record

68%

117-55 (172)

Tolkonevminus2
LEGION

Invested

$490.02

Value

—

PnL

+$9.45

Record

63%

107-62 (169)

ZT
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100
LEGION

Invested

$17.08

Value

—

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

59%

6849-4851 (11700)

PV
pvc975
LEGION

Invested

$27,516.71

Value

—

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

98%

18151-375 (18526)

PA
panpidaras1<$100
LEGION

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

48%

292-320 (612)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x54d5cf93...10c651
Slug
dota2-huliga-legion1-2026-11-07-game1

Traders in this Market

GX

gxxyy

LEGION — $11.7K

+$2.2K

Skritopoolniy

LEGION — $6.2K

+$11.0K
GO

GooGooGaga1

LEGION — $4.6K

-$685.98
PO

PourpelNourpel

LEGION — $1.9K

+$1.5K
MA

madar78

CTR

HULIGANI — $0

$-17.0K
RA

RandomVibecoder

LEGION — $1.4K

+$1.1K
GT

gt7238

LEGION — $1.0K

+$907.84
XT

xtxpleasecallme

LEGION — $1.0K

-$3.75
0X

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341

CTR

HULIGANI — $0

-$993.65
0X

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

CTR

HULIGANI — $0

-$210
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