Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Inner Circle — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Inner Circle

Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Inner Circle. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Inner Circle. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Inner Circle 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$6.2K

Combined PnL

$1.4K

Inner Circle

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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4ikibamboni0%

Inner Circle100%

Inner Circle7 traders

Total Value$6.1K

Total Shares6,069

Combined PnL+$1.7K

4ikibamboni3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares844

Combined PnL-$334.6

Inner Circle — 70%4ikibamboni — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MA madar78	Inner Circleavg 68.2¢	$3.5K	$5.1K	+$1.6K	46% 52-61 (113)
PV pvc975	Inner Circleavg 99.9¢	$610.25	$610.86	+$0.61	98% 487-10 (497)
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	4ikibamboniavg 42.3¢	$1.3K	$120.19	$-1.2K	48% 544-592 (1136)
└ 4ikibamboni leg	4ikibamboniavg 42.3¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K
└ Inner Circle leg	Inner Circleavg 54.2¢	$65.1	$120.19	+$55.09
OM omnibus-076daa	Inner Circleavg 66.6¢	$95.86	$143.91	+$48.05	46% 621-730 (1351)
poshposh<$100	Inner Circleavg 58.7¢	$93.62	$98.33	+$4.71	49% 1306-1379 (2685)
38 38791873984189<$100	Inner Circleavg 59.1¢	$60.59	$85.7	+$35.11	48% 3948-4293 (8241)
BU BunnycatCTR	4ikibamboniavg 39.7¢	$329.56	—	-$329.56	60% 36-24 (60)
LR lryyy<$100	Inner Circleavg 59.3¢	$29.07	$32	+$2.93	45% 963-1156 (2119)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	4ikibamboniavg 37¢	$5	—	-$5	38% 3804-6225 (10029)
NO NotJumpCTR	4ikibamboniavg 50¢	$525	—	-$0.05	50% 1112-1113 (2225)
JE jelly2026	Inner Circleavg 67¢	$165.56	—	-$12.35	54% 100-86 (186)