Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-08?
Resolved No. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
No 68%
2 arb excluded
$29.9K
$6.5K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Noavg 80.8¢ | $7.8K | $9.6K | +$1.7K | 47% 2177-2413 (4590) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 43.3¢ | $9.6K | $7.6K | +$1.8K | 51% 47280-44570 (91850) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 43.3¢ | $3.3K | $7.6K | +$3.1K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 26¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 42.2¢ | $2.0K | $3.5K | +$1.5K | 50% 32573-32704 (65277) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 74¢ | $1.7K | $2.2K | +$458.63 | 49% 2208-2325 (4533) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Yesavg 31.5¢ | $1.9K | $1.2K | -$642.2 | 53% 70213-61793 (132006) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 31.5¢ | $928.87 | — | $-1.1K | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 48.9¢ | $590.35 | $1.2K | +$417.4 | |
KY Kyn008 | Noavg 27¢ | $351.01 | $1.3K | +$949.03 | 48% 316-349 (665) |
LI LightParadox | Noavg 74.4¢ | $210.09 | $1.8K | +$1.5K | 47% 2124-2359 (4483) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 78.2¢ | $764.14 | $949.2 | +$185.07 | 47% 2130-2385 (4515) |
 dips. | Noavg 72.5¢ | $580.12 | $800.63 | +$220.51 | 46% 12125-14052 (26177) |
PA pauleta23 | Noavg 92.5¢ | $432.45 | $432.45 | +$32.45 | 65% 25415-13614 (39029) |
CI cigarettes | Noavg 62¢ | $157.82 | $254.55 | +$96.73 | 50% 65490-65806 (131296) |
WA WagerWizard | Noavg 39.6¢ | $106.54 | $171.57 | +$65.03 | 71% 18412-7577 (25989) |
PV pvc975 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $138.54 | $138.54 | +$0.14 | 98% 20215-401 (20616) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | $22.13 | $31.42 | +$12.24 | 50% 48590-48183 (96773) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 26.5¢ | $11.75 | $18.83 | +$7.08 | 50% 27958-27406 (55364) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Yesavg 28.8¢ | $308.4 | — | -$23.15 | 52% 27270-24782 (52052) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | $4.12 | $5 | +$0.88 | 48% 70290-75979 (146269) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 26¢ | $4.39 | $4.39 | +$3.25 | 59% 52401-37126 (89527) |
AP apprentice15CTR | Yesavg 8.6¢ | $105.05 | — | -$105.05 | 42% 537-734 (1271) |
FI FinalOrderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $100 | — | -$100 | 46% 242-286 (528) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 49.2¢ | $34.44 | — | -$16.95 | 50% 23482-23489 (46971) |
RI RichieRicherCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $5.84 | — | -$5.84 | 55% 841-699 (1540) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 25.8¢ | $25 | — | -$6.45 | 52% 6055-5585 (11640) |
RA rabbitfoot1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 57¢ | $6.83 | — | -$6.83 | 54% 1255-1078 (2333) |
Invested
$7,838.64
Value
$9.6K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
47%
2177-2413 (4590)
Invested
$9,585.74
Value
$7.6K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
51%
47280-44570 (91850)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,997.71
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
50%
32573-32704 (65277)
Invested
$1,743.51
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$458.63
Record
49%
2208-2325 (4533)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$1,850.69
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$642.2
Record
53%
70213-61793 (132006)
Both legs:
Invested
$351.01
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$949.03
Record
48%
316-349 (665)
Invested
$210.09
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
47%
2124-2359 (4483)
Invested
$764.14
Value
$949.2
PnL
+$185.07
Record
47%
2130-2385 (4515)
dips.Invested
$580.12
Value
$800.63
PnL
+$220.51
Record
46%
12125-14052 (26177)
Invested
$432.45
Value
$432.45
PnL
+$32.45
Record
65%
25415-13614 (39029)
Invested
$157.82
Value
$254.55
PnL
+$96.73
Record
50%
65490-65806 (131296)
Invested
$106.54
Value
$171.57
PnL
+$65.03
Record
71%
18412-7577 (25989)
Invested
$138.54
Value
$138.54
PnL
+$0.14
Record
98%
20215-401 (20616)
Invested
$22.13
Value
$31.42
PnL
+$12.24
Record
50%
48590-48183 (96773)
Invested
$11.75
Value
$18.83
PnL
+$7.08
Record
50%
27958-27406 (55364)
Invested
$308.4
Value
—
PnL
-$23.15
Record
52%
27270-24782 (52052)
Invested
$4.12
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.88
Record
48%
70290-75979 (146269)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$4.39
Value
$4.39
PnL
+$3.25
Record
59%
52401-37126 (89527)
Invested
$105.05
Value
—
PnL
-$105.05
Record
42%
537-734 (1271)
Invested
$100
Value
—
PnL
-$100
Record
46%
242-286 (528)
Invested
$34.44
Value
—
PnL
-$16.95
Record
50%
23482-23489 (46971)
Invested
$5.84
Value
—
PnL
-$5.84
Record
55%
841-699 (1540)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$6.45
Record
52%
6055-5585 (11640)
Invested
$6.83
Value
—
PnL
-$6.83
Record
54%
1255-1078 (2333)