Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

5 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Heroic (42%) · Heroic at 69¢ · $23K held · ends Nov 15

Heroic69¢FaZe31¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Heroic

Consensus Traders

Heroic 42%

6 arb excluded

Total Value

$22.5K

Combined PnL

$416.62

Smart Money Entry

57.5¢ → 68.5¢

+19% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralHeroic at 69%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Heroic

5 of 12 top traders (42%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Heroic69%

FaZe32%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Heroic5 traders

Total Value$12.6K

Total Shares19,031

Combined PnL+$934.74

FaZe7 traders

Total Value$4.8K

Total Shares12,307

Combined PnL-$518.13

Heroic — 42%FaZe — 58%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

1 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

20% of non-arb traders are on Heroic. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperFaZe 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrHeroic 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000FaZe 80% · 5

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JA JabJabich	Heroicavg 58.7¢	$3.8K	$4.1K	+$307.67	35% 48-89 (137)
FU Fund01	Heroicavg 57¢	$3.1K	$3.5K	+$354.39	— 9-10 (19)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Heroicavg 57.7¢	$2.8K	$2.9K	+$170.76	56% 4169-3265 (7434)
PN pnhctARB<$100	Heroicavg 65.2¢	$3.7K	$2.7K	-$73.82	57% 26-20 (46)
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 65.2¢	$2.1K	$2.1K	+$0.61
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 41.8¢	$731.84	$586.8	-$74.43
MaoZeDonKCTR	FaZeavg 43¢	$2.6K	$2.5K	-$30	58% 49-36 (85)
latvian.demonCTR	FaZeavg 44¢	$1.9K	$1.5K	-$463.81	14% 75-469 (544)
tankfest2027	Heroicavg 55¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$9.85	— 6-13 (19)
KA Kaczka	Heroicavg 57.5¢	$889	$981.07	+$92.07	10% 23-211 (234)
II iii252ARB<$100	Heroicavg 65¢	$3.1K	$944.09	-$188.39	1% 4-424 (428)
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 65¢	$653.2	$668.27	-$308.84
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 41¢	$337.57	$275.82	+$120.45
AA aaaa298ARB<$100	FaZeavg 45¢	$724.3	$611.85	-$107.99	2% 7-305 (312)
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 45¢	$544.5	$405.35	-$139.59
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 56.3¢	$174.9	$206.5	+$31.59
ColdWCTR	FaZeavg 43.3¢	$513.73	$527.77	+$14.04	— 13-6 (19)
SE sentrioARB<$100	Heroicavg 56.4¢	$374.15	$378.1	+$3.95	41% 1189-1686 (2875)
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 56.4¢	$233.92	$230.12	-$3.8
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 42.2¢	$140.23	$147.98	+$7.75
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Heroicavg 51.8¢	$567.14	$277.5	+$7.75	50% 1136-1139 (2275)
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 51.8¢	$200.63	$217	+$28.13
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 45.3¢	$62.3	$60.5	-$20.38
TO TommyLeePeecaARB<$100	Heroicavg 59.7¢	$816.19	$235.37	+$18.22	23% 72-235 (307)
└ Heroic leg	Heroicavg 59.7¢	$145.3	$161.73	-$20.5
└ FaZe leg	FaZeavg 36.3¢	$79.74	$73.64	+$38.73
0X 0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947aCTR	FaZeavg 42.5¢	$255	$219	-$36	42% 21-29 (50)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100	FaZeavg 43¢	$29.74	$28.36	-$1.38	47% 41-47 (88)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	FaZeavg 36.6¢	$9.65	$9.12	-$0.52	50% 2851-2894 (5745)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	FaZeavg 45¢	$5	$4.56	-$0.44	38% 3822-6251 (10073)

JabJabich

Heroic

Invested

$3,770.79

Value

$4.1K

PnL

+$307.67

Record

35%

48-89 (137)

Fund01

Heroic

Invested

$3,107.72

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$354.39

Record

—

9-10 (19)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Heroic

Invested

$2,779.75

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$170.76

Record

56%

4169-3265 (7434)

pnhctARB<$100

Heroic

Invested

$3,679.72

Value

$2.7K

PnL

-$73.82

Record

57%

26-20 (46)

Both legs:

Heroic$2,059.3665.2¢+$0.61

FaZe$731.8441.8¢-$74.43

MaoZeDonKCTR

FaZe

Invested

$2,579.98

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$30

Record

58%

49-36 (85)

latvian.demonCTR

FaZe

Invested

$1,943.6

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$463.81

Record

14%

75-469 (544)

tankfest2027

Heroic

Invested

$1,083.62

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$9.85

Record

—

6-13 (19)

Kaczka

Heroic

Invested

$889

Value

$981.07

PnL

+$92.07

Record

10%

23-211 (234)

iii252ARB<$100

Heroic

Invested

$3,136.72

Value

$944.09

PnL

-$188.39

Record

4-424 (428)

Both legs:

Heroic$653.265¢-$308.84

FaZe$337.5741¢+$120.45

aaaa298ARB<$100

FaZe

Invested

$724.3

Value

$611.85

PnL

-$107.99

Record

7-305 (312)

Both legs:

FaZe$544.545¢-$139.59

Heroic$174.956.3¢+$31.59

ColdWCTR

FaZe

Invested

$513.73

Value

$527.77

PnL

+$14.04

Record

—

13-6 (19)

sentrioARB<$100

Heroic

Invested

$374.15

Value

$378.1

PnL

+$3.95

Record

41%

1189-1686 (2875)

Both legs:

Heroic$233.9256.4¢-$3.8

FaZe$140.2342.2¢+$7.75

NotJumpARB<$100

Heroic

Invested

$567.14

Value

$277.5

PnL

+$7.75

Record

50%

1136-1139 (2275)

Both legs:

Heroic$200.6351.8¢+$28.13

FaZe$62.345.3¢-$20.38

TommyLeePeecaARB<$100

Heroic

Invested

$816.19

Value

$235.37

PnL

+$18.22

Record

23%

72-235 (307)

Both legs:

Heroic$145.359.7¢-$20.5

FaZe$79.7436.3¢+$38.73

0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947aCTR

FaZe

Invested

$255

Value

$219

PnL

-$36

Record

42%

21-29 (50)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100

FaZe

Invested

$29.74

Value

$28.36

PnL

-$1.38

Record

47%

41-47 (88)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

FaZe

Invested

$9.65

Value

$9.12

PnL

-$0.52

Record

50%

2851-2894 (5745)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

FaZe

Invested

Value

$4.56

PnL

-$0.44

Record

38%

3822-6251 (10073)

Research grade

NeutralHeroic at 69%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Heroic

5 of 12 top traders (42%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

1 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

20% of non-arb traders are on Heroic. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sniperFaZe 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrHeroic 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000FaZe 80% · 5

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Heroic wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance70.6%

68.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$41.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

141.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.