Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Montserrat vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
No 38%
$3.2K
-$270.74
Smart Money Signal
6 of 14 top traders (43%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 90.8¢ | $2.0K | $1.9K | -$63.02 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 91.1¢ | $758.45 | $739.44 | -$19.01 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 87.4¢ | $308.83 | $344.74 | +$35.91 | 37% 841-1416 (2257) |
PO poposub | Noavg 71¢ | $141.29 | $199 | +$57.71 | — 8-7 (15) |
VE VenusianCTR | Yesavg 9.2¢ | $120.39 | — | -$120.39 | 36% 893-1601 (2494) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.3¢ | $98.26 | — | -$98.26 | 36% 883-1569 (2452) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.3¢ | $29.99 | — | -$29.99 | 36% 911-1587 (2498) |
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $13.8 | $15 | +$1.2 | 39% 3600-5658 (9258) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.7¢ | $20.07 | — | -$20.07 | 37% 926-1560 (2486) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $2.91 | — | -$2.35 | 46% 2359-2814 (5173) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.3¢ | $8.71 | — | -$1.71 | 49% 1883-1987 (3870) |
SP spyGoodLuck77CTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | $2.57 | — | -$2.57 | 12% 43-330 (373) |
GU guilttripCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $2.67 | — | -$2.67 | 47% 16-18 (34) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | $23.59 | — | -$5.51 | 25% 1304-3920 (5224) |
Invested
$1,990.17
Value
$1.9K
PnL
-$63.02
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$758.45
Value
$739.44
PnL
-$19.01
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$308.83
Value
$344.74
PnL
+$35.91
Record
37%
841-1416 (2257)
Invested
$141.29
Value
$199
PnL
+$57.71
Record
—
8-7 (15)
Invested
$120.39
Value
—
PnL
-$120.39
Record
36%
893-1601 (2494)
Invested
$98.26
Value
—
PnL
-$98.26
Record
36%
883-1569 (2452)
Invested
$29.99
Value
—
PnL
-$29.99
Record
36%
911-1587 (2498)
Invested
$13.8
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.2
Record
39%
3600-5658 (9258)
Invested
$20.07
Value
—
PnL
-$20.07
Record
37%
926-1560 (2486)
Invested
$2.91
Value
—
PnL
-$2.35
Record
46%
2359-2814 (5173)
Invested
$8.71
Value
—
PnL
-$1.71
Record
49%
1883-1987 (3870)
Invested
$2.57
Value
—
PnL
-$2.57
Record
12%
43-330 (373)
Invested
$2.67
Value
—
PnL
-$2.67
Record
47%
16-18 (34)
Invested
$23.59
Value
—
PnL
-$5.51
Record
25%
1304-3920 (5224)