Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Saint-Martin vs. El Salvador end in a draw?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
No 62%
$334.41
-$6.76
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
XT xtxpleasecallme | Noavg 93.5¢ | $103.79 | $110.96 | +$7.17 | 39% 3599-5657 (9256) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $65.79 | $76.5 | +$10.71 | 36% 910-1584 (2494) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $63.83 | $61.89 | -$1.94 | 37% 819-1385 (2204) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | $40.7 | $32.22 | -$8.48 | 50% 3526-3585 (7111) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $17 | $19.77 | +$2.77 | 36% 890-1596 (2486) |
 poshposh<$100 | Noavg 84¢ | $12.15 | $14.46 | +$2.31 | 48% 1014-1100 (2114) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $10.22 | $12.62 | +$2.4 | 56% 426-340 (766) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | $4.92 | $6 | +$1.08 | 54% 2013-1746 (3759) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | $5.97 | — | -$5.97 | 36% 879-1566 (2445) |
TH thirdt1meCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $5.03 | — | -$5.03 | 48% 243-263 (506) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 29% 298-747 (1045) |
SU suitcase6628CTR | Yesavg 24¢ | $124.8 | — | -$4.8 | 64% 527-296 (823) |
GU guilttripCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.3¢ | $3.17 | — | -$3.17 | 47% 16-18 (34) |
QW qwen300.fund<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | $8.9 | — | -$2.23 | 29% 3158-7813 (10971) |
AH aHjCz<$100 | Noavg 92¢ | $4.6 | — | -$1.27 | 25% 1304-3920 (5224) |
BL BlackMamba08CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10¢ | $1.8 | — | +$1.44 | 46% 18-21 (39) |
Invested
$103.79
Value
$110.96
PnL
+$7.17
Record
39%
3599-5657 (9256)
Invested
$65.79
Value
$76.5
PnL
+$10.71
Record
36%
910-1584 (2494)
Invested
$63.83
Value
$61.89
PnL
-$1.94
Record
37%
819-1385 (2204)
Invested
$40.7
Value
$32.22
PnL
-$8.48
Record
50%
3526-3585 (7111)
Invested
$17
Value
$19.77
PnL
+$2.77
Record
36%
890-1596 (2486)
poshposh<$100Invested
$12.15
Value
$14.46
PnL
+$2.31
Record
48%
1014-1100 (2114)
Invested
$10.22
Value
$12.62
PnL
+$2.4
Record
56%
426-340 (766)
Invested
$4.92
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.08
Record
54%
2013-1746 (3759)
Invested
$5.97
Value
—
PnL
-$5.97
Record
36%
879-1566 (2445)
Invested
$5.03
Value
—
PnL
-$5.03
Record
48%
243-263 (506)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
29%
298-747 (1045)
Invested
$124.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
64%
527-296 (823)
Invested
$3.17
Value
—
PnL
-$3.17
Record
47%
16-18 (34)
Invested
$8.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.23
Record
29%
3158-7813 (10971)
Invested
$4.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.27
Record
25%
1304-3920 (5224)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
+$1.44
Record
46%
18-21 (39)