Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Marist Red Foxes — but Lehigh Mountain Hawks won instead.
Marist Red Foxes vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Resolved Lehigh Mountain Hawks. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Marist Red Foxes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
29
Marist Red Foxes 52%
1 arb excluded
$5.6K
$-4.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 29 top traders (48%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OJ ojg | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 93¢ | $1.8K | $1.9K | +$134.63 | 48% 214-233 (447) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 41.9¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 57% 3570-2717 (6287) |
CI cigarettesCTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 40¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 53% 6888-6032 (12920) |
 RN1 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 74.5¢ | $623.84 | $813.11 | +$189.28 | 56% 5073-4021 (9094) |
RO Rock.San | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 99.1¢ | $693.7 | $700 | +$6.3 | 94% 120-8 (128) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 41¢ | $776.27 | — | -$776.27 | 59% 491-339 (830) |
 0xheavy888ARB<$100 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 56¢ | $437.09 | $398.45 | -$38.64 | 55% 441-368 (809) |
| └ Lehigh Mountain Hawks leg | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 56¢ | $223.13 | $398.45 | +$175.32 | |
| └ Marist Red Foxes leg | Marist Red Foxesavg 41.7¢ | $213.96 | — | -$213.96 | |
TH thirdt1me | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 73.6¢ | $382.42 | $519.55 | +$137.13 | 48% 243-264 (507) |
 poshposhCTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 40¢ | $554.73 | — | -$554.73 | 48% 1014-1101 (2115) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 40¢ | $468.8 | — | -$468.8 | 50% 3544-3611 (7155) |
AV averagejoetraders | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 72¢ | $243.49 | $312.5 | +$69.01 | 56% 748-599 (1347) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 43.4¢ | $360 | — | -$360 | 23% 294-994 (1288) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 58¢ | $166.36 | $240 | +$73.64 | 55% 1350-1126 (2476) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 20.5¢ | $153.83 | — | -$153.83 | 37% 497-832 (1329) |
FO forecastication4CTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 41¢ | $251.74 | — | -$251.74 | 32% 147-308 (455) |
38 38791873984189 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 74.1¢ | $344.66 | $199.91 | +$121.23 | 48% 2942-3249 (6191) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 59.1¢ | $117.61 | $199 | +$81.39 | 59% 3410-2403 (5813) |
BA Bagwell306CTR | Marist Red Foxesavg 41¢ | $205 | — | -$205 | 34% 67-133 (200) |
 nigiri99 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 56¢ | $64.4 | $115 | +$50.6 | 51% 499-470 (969) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 78.8¢ | $92.02 | $78.64 | +$21.47 | 49% 1349-1396 (2745) |
MA MarquisDeMott<$100 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 99.1¢ | $76.31 | $77 | +$0.69 | 93% 104-8 (112) |
 Dr.mett<$100 | Lehigh Mountain Hawksavg 99.9¢ | $49.44 | $49.49 | +$0.05 | — 11-2 (13) |
BI biying99999CTR<$100 | Marist Red Foxesavg 41¢ | $49.61 | — | -$49.61 | 34% 95-187 (282) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100 | Marist Red Foxesavg 42.4¢ | $22.49 | — | -$22.49 | 55% 250-204 (454) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100 | Marist Red Foxesavg 30¢ | $4.26 | — | -$4.26 | 51% 2368-2313 (4681) |
Invested
$1,812.06
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$134.63
Record
48%
214-233 (447)
Invested
$1,366.67
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
57%
3570-2717 (6287)
Invested
$1,011
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
53%
6888-6032 (12920)
RN1Invested
$623.84
Value
$813.11
PnL
+$189.28
Record
56%
5073-4021 (9094)
Invested
$693.7
Value
$700
PnL
+$6.3
Record
94%
120-8 (128)
Invested
$776.27
Value
—
PnL
-$776.27
Record
59%
491-339 (830)
0xheavy888ARB<$100Invested
$437.09
Value
$398.45
PnL
-$38.64
Record
55%
441-368 (809)
Both legs:
Invested
$382.42
Value
$519.55
PnL
+$137.13
Record
48%
243-264 (507)
poshposhCTRInvested
$554.73
Value
—
PnL
-$554.73
Record
48%
1014-1101 (2115)
Invested
$468.8
Value
—
PnL
-$468.8
Record
50%
3544-3611 (7155)
Invested
$243.49
Value
$312.5
PnL
+$69.01
Record
56%
748-599 (1347)
Invested
$360
Value
—
PnL
-$360
Record
23%
294-994 (1288)
Invested
$166.36
Value
$240
PnL
+$73.64
Record
55%
1350-1126 (2476)
Invested
$153.83
Value
—
PnL
-$153.83
Record
37%
497-832 (1329)
Invested
$251.74
Value
—
PnL
-$251.74
Record
32%
147-308 (455)
Invested
$344.66
Value
$199.91
PnL
+$121.23
Record
48%
2942-3249 (6191)
Invested
$117.61
Value
$199
PnL
+$81.39
Record
59%
3410-2403 (5813)
Invested
$205
Value
—
PnL
-$205
Record
34%
67-133 (200)
nigiri99Invested
$64.4
Value
$115
PnL
+$50.6
Record
51%
499-470 (969)
Invested
$92.02
Value
$78.64
PnL
+$21.47
Record
49%
1349-1396 (2745)
Invested
$76.31
Value
$77
PnL
+$0.69
Record
93%
104-8 (112)
Dr.mett<$100Invested
$49.44
Value
$49.49
PnL
+$0.05
Record
—
11-2 (13)
Invested
$49.61
Value
—
PnL
-$49.61
Record
34%
95-187 (282)
Invested
$22.49
Value
—
PnL
-$22.49
Record
55%
250-204 (454)
Invested
$4.26
Value
—
PnL
-$4.26
Record
51%
2368-2313 (4681)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ojg
Lehigh Mountain Hawks — $1.9K
HomeRunHazard
CTRMarist Red Foxes — $0
cigarettes
CTRMarist Red Foxes — $0
RN1
Lehigh Mountain Hawks — $813.11
Rock.San
Lehigh Mountain Hawks — $700
0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
CTRMarist Red Foxes — $0
0xheavy888
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thirdt1me
Lehigh Mountain Hawks — $519.55
poshposh
CTRMarist Red Foxes — $0
Flaznorp
CTRMarist Red Foxes — $0