Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-08?
Resolved No. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
No 68%
$24.1K
-$527.57
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 93¢ | $10.2K | $10.2K | +$711.57 | 51% 46870-44196 (91066) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 80.3¢ | $20.2K | $8.1K | +$382.69 | 50% 32540-32687 (65227) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 93.3¢ | $2.6K | $1.4K | +$92.3 | 48% 2079-2257 (4336) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Noavg 88.5¢ | $2.0K | $1.1K | +$68.05 | 46% 1957-2309 (4266) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 92¢ | $726.93 | $726.93 | +$58.15 | 46% 30563-35669 (66232) |
LI Limousin | Noavg 91.5¢ | $2.6K | $721.33 | +$59.47 | 49% 2102-2190 (4292) |
DA darkumbreon88 | Noavg 75¢ | $467.21 | $553.24 | +$86.03 | 65% 2130-1169 (3299) |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 90.5¢ | $522.43 | $394.08 | +$35.39 | 48% 2032-2230 (4262) |
 LonnieHawkinss | Noavg 99.9¢ | $343.56 | $341.46 | +$0.36 | 53% 2209-1983 (4192) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Noavg 90.2¢ | $190.65 | $151.25 | -$31.36 | 50% 23433-23429 (46862) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR | Yesavg 18.8¢ | $7.7K | — | $-1.5K | 57% 2664-2048 (4712) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Noavg 88.1¢ | $282.47 | $116.6 | +$2.95 | 53% 15441-13720 (29161) |
AN Anon455 | Noavg 81¢ | $86.35 | $105.26 | +$18.92 | 55% 3933-3280 (7213) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 96.9¢ | $60.03 | $60.03 | +$1.83 | 48% 2039-2213 (4252) |
 RN1CTR | Yesavg 2.2¢ | $3.9K | — | -$109.66 | 53% 70164-61737 (131901) |
PA Pan9X | Noavg 98.6¢ | $1.2K | $22.79 | +$0.04 | 52% 27099-24604 (51703) |
38 38791873984189 | Noavg 99.1¢ | $993.56 | $5.56 | +$0.05 | 48% 70219-75923 (146142) |
KY Kyn008CTR | Yesavg 21¢ | $337.28 | — | -$337.28 | 48% 313-335 (648) |
PT PT-S7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6.1¢ | $16.54 | — | -$16.54 | 46% 3487-4014 (7501) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.5¢ | $53.33 | — | -$11.49 | 57% 22219-16567 (38786) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $24 | — | -$1.92 | 53% 3670-3275 (6945) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $0.23 | — | -$0.23 | 52% 6029-5557 (11586) |
Invested
$10,242.3
Value
$10.2K
PnL
+$711.57
Record
51%
46870-44196 (91066)
Invested
$20,247.89
Value
$8.1K
PnL
+$382.69
Record
50%
32540-32687 (65227)
Invested
$2,568.01
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$92.3
Record
48%
2079-2257 (4336)
Invested
$1,983.03
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$68.05
Record
46%
1957-2309 (4266)
Invested
$726.93
Value
$726.93
PnL
+$58.15
Record
46%
30563-35669 (66232)
Invested
$2,561.33
Value
$721.33
PnL
+$59.47
Record
49%
2102-2190 (4292)
Invested
$467.21
Value
$553.24
PnL
+$86.03
Record
65%
2130-1169 (3299)
Invested
$522.43
Value
$394.08
PnL
+$35.39
Record
48%
2032-2230 (4262)
LonnieHawkinssInvested
$343.56
Value
$341.46
PnL
+$0.36
Record
53%
2209-1983 (4192)
Invested
$190.65
Value
$151.25
PnL
-$31.36
Record
50%
23433-23429 (46862)
Invested
$7,707.39
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
57%
2664-2048 (4712)
Invested
$282.47
Value
$116.6
PnL
+$2.95
Record
53%
15441-13720 (29161)
Invested
$86.35
Value
$105.26
PnL
+$18.92
Record
55%
3933-3280 (7213)
Invested
$60.03
Value
$60.03
PnL
+$1.83
Record
48%
2039-2213 (4252)
RN1CTRInvested
$3,925.58
Value
—
PnL
-$109.66
Record
53%
70164-61737 (131901)
Invested
$1,156.43
Value
$22.79
PnL
+$0.04
Record
52%
27099-24604 (51703)
Invested
$993.56
Value
$5.56
PnL
+$0.05
Record
48%
70219-75923 (146142)
Invested
$337.28
Value
—
PnL
-$337.28
Record
48%
313-335 (648)
Invested
$16.54
Value
—
PnL
-$16.54
Record
46%
3487-4014 (7501)
Invested
$53.33
Value
—
PnL
-$11.49
Record
57%
22219-16567 (38786)
Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
53%
3670-3275 (6945)
Invested
$0.23
Value
—
PnL
-$0.23
Record
52%
6029-5557 (11586)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
No — $10.2K
GoalLineGhost
No — $8.1K
Venusian
No — $1.4K
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
No — $1.1K
LuckyLoo
No — $726.93
Limousin
No — $721.33
darkumbreon88
No — $553.24
MadridTime
No — $394.08
LonnieHawkinss
No — $341.46
omnibus-076daa
No — $151.25