Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 63%
$3.7K
-$609.54
Smart Money Signal
19 of 31 top traders (61%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG | Downavg 72.1¢ | $439.96 | $610.57 | +$170.61 | 59% 6954-4900 (11854) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 66.2¢ | $519.14 | $541.57 | +$22.44 | 51% 12360-11859 (24219) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 66¢ | $449.6 | $481.42 | +$31.82 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
10 1000monkeysCTR | Upavg 40.8¢ | $461.31 | — | -$461.31 | 59% 11420-7847 (19267) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 79¢ | $377.63 | $364.98 | -$12.65 | 54% 16644-14090 (30734) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 69.4¢ | $352.08 | $316.55 | -$35.53 | 66% 101181-52990 (154171) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 67.5¢ | $397.95 | $298.67 | -$99.28 | 55% 9938-8254 (18192) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $346.58 | $273.48 | -$73.09 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 85.8¢ | $213.9 | $181.86 | +$156.87 | 55% 15067-12471 (27538) |
BY ByteBadger93 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $108.1 | $137.47 | +$29.36 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $80.72 | $90 | +$9.28 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
 Bossgirl<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $56 | $72 | +$16 | 54% 4793-4035 (8828) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100 | Downavg 90.4¢ | $67.26 | $55.25 | -$12.01 | 52% 10639-9975 (20614) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $45.74 | $55.21 | +$9.47 | 53% 10527-9523 (20050) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $39.32 | $45.91 | +$6.59 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 95.2¢ | $67.6 | $41.2 | -$26.4 | 57% 9999-7468 (17467) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $28 | $40 | +$12 | 12% 18977-134229 (153206) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 88.7¢ | $40.12 | $30 | -$10.12 | 54% 13761-11752 (25513) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.8¢ | $66.96 | — | -$66.96 | 56% 60779-47271 (108050) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.4¢ | $63.09 | — | -$63.09 | 55% 51803-42237 (94040) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 73.5¢ | $7.35 | $10 | +$2.65 | 74% 105203-37122 (142325) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $8.01 | $10.92 | +$2.9 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $9.09 | — | -$9.09 | 55% 52018-43125 (95143) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.1¢ | $24.14 | — | -$24.14 | 75% 9961-3335 (13296) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.3¢ | $43.42 | — | -$43.42 | 56% 77627-59916 (137543) |
Invested
$439.96
Value
$610.57
PnL
+$170.61
Record
59%
6954-4900 (11854)
Invested
$519.14
Value
$541.57
PnL
+$22.44
Record
51%
12360-11859 (24219)
Invested
$449.6
Value
$481.42
PnL
+$31.82
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
Invested
$461.31
Value
—
PnL
-$461.31
Record
59%
11420-7847 (19267)
Invested
$377.63
Value
$364.98
PnL
-$12.65
Record
54%
16644-14090 (30734)
Invested
$352.08
Value
$316.55
PnL
-$35.53
Record
66%
101181-52990 (154171)
machinelearnedInvested
$397.95
Value
$298.67
PnL
-$99.28
Record
55%
9938-8254 (18192)
Invested
$346.58
Value
$273.48
PnL
-$73.09
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
Invested
$213.9
Value
$181.86
PnL
+$156.87
Record
55%
15067-12471 (27538)
Invested
$108.1
Value
$137.47
PnL
+$29.36
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$80.72
Value
$90
PnL
+$9.28
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Bossgirl<$100Invested
$56
Value
$72
PnL
+$16
Record
54%
4793-4035 (8828)
Invested
$67.26
Value
$55.25
PnL
-$12.01
Record
52%
10639-9975 (20614)
Invested
$45.74
Value
$55.21
PnL
+$9.47
Record
53%
10527-9523 (20050)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$39.32
Value
$45.91
PnL
+$6.59
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$67.6
Value
$41.2
PnL
-$26.4
Record
57%
9999-7468 (17467)
Invested
$28
Value
$40
PnL
+$12
Record
12%
18977-134229 (153206)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$40.12
Value
$30
PnL
-$10.12
Record
54%
13761-11752 (25513)
Invested
$66.96
Value
—
PnL
-$66.96
Record
56%
60779-47271 (108050)
Invested
$63.09
Value
—
PnL
-$63.09
Record
55%
51803-42237 (94040)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$7.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.65
Record
74%
105203-37122 (142325)
Invested
$8.01
Value
$10.92
PnL
+$2.9
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$9.09
Value
—
PnL
-$9.09
Record
55%
52018-43125 (95143)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$24.14
Value
—
PnL
-$24.14
Record
75%
9961-3335 (13296)
Invested
$43.42
Value
—
PnL
-$43.42
Record
56%
77627-59916 (137543)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Down — $610.57
blue.birds
Down — $541.57
asdcaxz
Down — $481.42
1000monkeys
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $364.98
Bonereaper
Down — $316.55
machinelearned
Down — $298.67
ply-pm0
Down — $273.48
GoodFallen
Down — $181.86
ByteBadger93
Down — $137.47