Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 71%
$2.4K
$318.14
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atomforge | Downavg 54.7¢ | $249.44 | $440.58 | +$191.14 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $378.99 | $297.59 | -$81.4 | 50% 6436-6457 (12893) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 63.3¢ | $223.25 | $284.42 | +$61.17 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
BY ByteBadger93 | Downavg 71.9¢ | $301.81 | $404.26 | +$102.45 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 81.2¢ | $228.53 | $228.89 | +$0.36 | 51% 12360-11859 (24219) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489 | Downavg 75.8¢ | $124.46 | $154.6 | +$30.15 | 75% 295-99 (394) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $88.16 | $107.79 | +$19.63 | 52% 10639-9975 (20614) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Downavg 68.1¢ | $136.16 | $199.95 | +$63.8 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $72.58 | $91.15 | +$18.56 | 55% 15067-12471 (27538) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG | Downavg 91.6¢ | $109.89 | $120 | +$10.11 | 59% 6954-4900 (11854) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $50.03 | $55.4 | +$5.37 | 56% 60779-47271 (108050) |
65 65765757CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $13.31 | — | -$13.31 | 79% 292-78 (370) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.6¢ | $61.65 | — | -$61.65 | 63% 42627-25355 (67982) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $17.94 | $15 | -$2.94 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $6.63 | — | -$6.63 | 59% 63961-45114 (109075) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 61% 46285-29472 (75757) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $12.08 | — | -$12.08 | 65% 114804-61868 (176672) |
 arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 4042-3135 (7177) |
AtomforgeInvested
$249.44
Value
$440.58
PnL
+$191.14
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$378.99
Value
$297.59
PnL
-$81.4
Record
50%
6436-6457 (12893)
Invested
$223.25
Value
$284.42
PnL
+$61.17
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
Invested
$301.81
Value
$404.26
PnL
+$102.45
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$228.53
Value
$228.89
PnL
+$0.36
Record
51%
12360-11859 (24219)
Invested
$124.46
Value
$154.6
PnL
+$30.15
Record
75%
295-99 (394)
Invested
$88.16
Value
$107.79
PnL
+$19.63
Record
52%
10639-9975 (20614)
Invested
$136.16
Value
$199.95
PnL
+$63.8
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
Invested
$72.58
Value
$91.15
PnL
+$18.56
Record
55%
15067-12471 (27538)
Invested
$109.89
Value
$120
PnL
+$10.11
Record
59%
6954-4900 (11854)
Invested
$50.03
Value
$55.4
PnL
+$5.37
Record
56%
60779-47271 (108050)
Invested
$13.31
Value
—
PnL
-$13.31
Record
79%
292-78 (370)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$61.65
Value
—
PnL
-$61.65
Record
63%
42627-25355 (67982)
Invested
$17.94
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.94
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
Invested
$6.63
Value
—
PnL
-$6.63
Record
59%
63961-45114 (109075)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
61%
46285-29472 (75757)
Invested
$12.08
Value
—
PnL
-$12.08
Record
65%
114804-61868 (176672)
arcsine-barristerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
4042-3135 (7177)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Atomforge
Down — $440.58
ply-pm0
Down — $297.59
asdcaxz
Down — $284.42
ByteBadger93
Down — $404.26
blue.birds
Down — $228.89
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489
Down — $154.6
0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658
Down — $107.79
0xdc27...afdd9a
Down — $199.95
GoodFallen
Down — $91.15
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Down — $120