Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

Total Value

$3.4K

Combined PnL

$42.88

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up23 traders

Total Value$3.4K

Total Shares3,394

Combined PnL+$339.35

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares515

Combined PnL-$296.47

Up — 79%Down — 21%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 76.7¢	$331.2	$428.98	+$97.78	66% 101039-52919 (153958)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 89.9¢	$408.76	$325.4	-$83.35	56% 15960-12579 (28539)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 88.7¢	$352.6	$291.71	-$60.89	50% 6373-6381 (12754)
machinelearned	Upavg 79.7¢	$227.67	$280.33	+$52.67	55% 9859-8170 (18029)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 85.1¢	$236.75	$255.24	+$18.49	51% 12116-11612 (23728)
pspspsps5	Upavg 83.6¢	$186.35	$203.82	+$17.47	45% 40136-48079 (88215)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Upavg 70.8¢	$665.36	$188.83	+$80.33	53% 8286-7256 (15542)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 50.5¢	$185.48	$367.08	+$181.6	58% 39817-28803 (68620)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 75¢	$180.17	$173.5	-$6.67	52% 10448-9456 (19904)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 76.7¢	$124.59	$152.36	+$27.76	52% 10562-9905 (20467)
10 1000monkeysCTR	Downavg 41¢	$169.89	—	-$169.89	59% 11299-7760 (19059)
G-Penis-Monster	Upavg 84¢	$125.98	$150	+$24.02	61% 46115-29290 (75405)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 62¢	$74.02	$89.12	+$15.1	48% 6593-7284 (13877)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 70¢	$75.68	$80	+$4.32	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
AL almach<$100	Upavg 95¢	$87.42	$62	-$25.42	55% 50161-41770 (91931)
BO bosona<$100	Upavg 95¢	$84.72	$62	-$22.72	55% 51712-42162 (93874)
ST stepaheadCTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$84.89	—	-$84.89	54% 10144-8498 (18642)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 95¢	$82.03	$56.33	-$25.7	55% 52363-42830 (95193)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82.4¢	$37.91	$46.01	+$8.1	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 74.4¢	$37.19	$50	+$12.81	63% 42458-25196 (67654)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 76.3¢	$38.15	$50	+$11.85	58% 63329-46540 (109869)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 80.6¢	$40.12	$49.75	+$9.63	65% 130321-70183 (200504)
GA gansinimenCTR<$100	Downavg 24¢	$20.48	—	-$20.48	51% 17665-17062 (34727)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.7¢	$19.73	$22	+$2.27	61% 98632-62636 (161268)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 41.8¢	$18.34	—	-$18.34	57% 9930-7432 (17362)

Bonereaper

Invested

$331.2

Value

$428.98

PnL

+$97.78

Record

66%

101039-52919 (153958)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$408.76

Value

$325.4

PnL

-$83.35

Record

56%

15960-12579 (28539)

ply-pm0

Invested

$352.6

Value

$291.71

PnL

-$60.89

Record

50%

6373-6381 (12754)

machinelearned

Invested

$227.67

Value

$280.33

PnL

+$52.67

Record

55%

9859-8170 (18029)

blue.birds

Invested

$236.75

Value

$255.24

PnL

+$18.49

Record

51%

12116-11612 (23728)

pspspsps5

Invested

$186.35

Value

$203.82

PnL

+$17.47

Record

45%

40136-48079 (88215)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Invested

$665.36

Value

$188.83

PnL

+$80.33

Record

53%

8286-7256 (15542)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$185.48

Value

$367.08

PnL

+$181.6

Record

58%

39817-28803 (68620)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$180.17

Value

$173.5

PnL

-$6.67

Record

52%

10448-9456 (19904)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$124.59

Value

$152.36

PnL

+$27.76

Record

52%

10562-9905 (20467)

1000monkeysCTR

Down

Invested

$169.89

Value

—

PnL

-$169.89

Record

59%

11299-7760 (19059)

G-Penis-Monster

Invested

$125.98

Value

$150

PnL

+$24.02

Record

61%

46115-29290 (75405)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$74.02

Value

$89.12

PnL

+$15.1

Record

48%

6593-7284 (13877)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$75.68

Value

$80

PnL

+$4.32

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

almach<$100

Invested

$87.42

Value

$62

PnL

-$25.42

Record

55%

50161-41770 (91931)

bosona<$100

Invested

$84.72

Value

$62

PnL

-$22.72

Record

55%

51712-42162 (93874)

stepaheadCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$84.89

Value

—

PnL

-$84.89

Record

54%

10144-8498 (18642)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$82.03

Value

$56.33

PnL

-$25.7

Record

55%

52363-42830 (95193)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$37.91

Value

$46.01

PnL

+$8.1

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$37.19

Value

$50

PnL

+$12.81

Record

63%

42458-25196 (67654)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$38.15

Value

$50

PnL

+$11.85

Record

58%

63329-46540 (109869)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$40.12

Value

$49.75

PnL

+$9.63

Record

65%

130321-70183 (200504)

gansinimenCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$20.48

Value

—

PnL

-$20.48

Record

51%

17665-17062 (34727)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$19.73

Value

$22

PnL

+$2.27

Record

61%

98632-62636 (161268)

wzbbbCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$18.34

Value

—

PnL

-$18.34

Record

57%

9930-7432 (17362)

Smart Money Signal

23 of 29 top traders (79%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x11b34d0d...86e3d6

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794023100

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $428.98

+$97.78

CrouchPredictions

Up — $325.4

-$83.35

ply-pm0

Up — $291.71

-$60.89

machinelearned

Up — $280.33

+$52.67

blue.birds

Up — $255.24

+$18.49

pspspsps5

Up — $203.82

+$17.47

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Up — $188.83

+$80.33

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $367.08

+$181.6

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Up — $173.5

-$6.67

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Up — $152.36

+$27.76

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