Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
48
Down 73%
$11.4K
$68.65
Smart Money Signal
36 of 48 top traders (75%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$30 | 74% 103372-36608 (139980) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 96.7¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$51.21 | 26% 8815-24906 (33721) |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Downavg 99.5¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$5.08 | 46% 6086-7026 (13112) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 81.5¢ | $555.1 | $681.44 | +$126.34 | 57% 72361-55060 (127421) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 72.2¢ | $484.7 | $489.05 | +$4.35 | 61% 7761-5060 (12821) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 66.7¢ | $471.42 | $476.93 | +$5.5 | 55% 6945-5713 (12658) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 80.8¢ | $368.84 | $402.06 | +$33.22 | 54% 8401-7119 (15520) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $318.04 | $395.17 | +$77.13 | 55% 18785-15358 (34143) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $366.45 | $365.9 | -$0.55 | 50% 5680-5734 (11414) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 88.7¢ | $367.09 | $337.76 | -$29.33 | 53% 4711-4105 (8816) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 84.1¢ | $294.04 | $264.2 | -$29.84 | 67% 100201-48634 (148835) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 84.4¢ | $206.71 | $235.45 | +$28.74 | 51% 17219-16725 (33944) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 68.1¢ | $258.35 | $220.54 | -$37.82 | 55% 15865-13222 (29087) |
0X 0x280E296e5f14091642208Ac24614826D9902fbd8-1780260958670 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $233.05 | $225.19 | -$7.86 | 53% 10526-9454 (19980) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 68.4¢ | $216.16 | $207.5 | -$8.66 | 53% 17476-15739 (33215) |
0X 0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894 | Downavg 42¢ | $139.04 | $240 | +$100.96 | 65% 15078-8100 (23178) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 83.7¢ | $164.94 | $163.58 | -$1.36 | 47% 1881-2131 (4012) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 43.5¢ | $83.96 | $193.2 | +$109.24 | 52% 7458-6898 (14356) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 50.1¢ | $126.73 | — | -$126.73 | 58% 38706-27758 (66464) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 89¢ | $114.77 | $129 | +$14.22 | 54% 46462-38844 (85306) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 88.1¢ | $112.51 | $113.61 | +$1.1 | 60% 12680-8430 (21110) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 49¢ | $104.82 | $213.91 | +$109.1 | 47% 12949-14528 (27477) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $54.85 | $88 | +$33.15 | 55% 7888-6448 (14336) |
AL Alpharo28<$100 | Downavg 63.2¢ | $75.89 | $80.83 | +$4.94 | 50% 37282-36733 (74015) |
13 13897651CTR | Upavg 65.2¢ | $148.71 | — | -$148.71 | 59% 7179-5059 (12238) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,970
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$30
Record
74%
103372-36608 (139980)
Invested
$1,479.66
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$51.21
Record
26%
8815-24906 (33721)
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$1,004.92
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$5.08
Record
46%
6086-7026 (13112)
Invested
$555.1
Value
$681.44
PnL
+$126.34
Record
57%
72361-55060 (127421)
Invested
$484.7
Value
$489.05
PnL
+$4.35
Record
61%
7761-5060 (12821)
Invested
$471.42
Value
$476.93
PnL
+$5.5
Record
55%
6945-5713 (12658)
Invested
$368.84
Value
$402.06
PnL
+$33.22
Record
54%
8401-7119 (15520)
Invested
$318.04
Value
$395.17
PnL
+$77.13
Record
55%
18785-15358 (34143)
Invested
$366.45
Value
$365.9
PnL
-$0.55
Record
50%
5680-5734 (11414)
Invested
$367.09
Value
$337.76
PnL
-$29.33
Record
53%
4711-4105 (8816)
Invested
$294.04
Value
$264.2
PnL
-$29.84
Record
67%
100201-48634 (148835)
Invested
$206.71
Value
$235.45
PnL
+$28.74
Record
51%
17219-16725 (33944)
Invested
$258.35
Value
$220.54
PnL
-$37.82
Record
55%
15865-13222 (29087)
Invested
$233.05
Value
$225.19
PnL
-$7.86
Record
53%
10526-9454 (19980)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$216.16
Value
$207.5
PnL
-$8.66
Record
53%
17476-15739 (33215)
Invested
$139.04
Value
$240
PnL
+$100.96
Record
65%
15078-8100 (23178)
Invested
$164.94
Value
$163.58
PnL
-$1.36
Record
47%
1881-2131 (4012)
Invested
$83.96
Value
$193.2
PnL
+$109.24
Record
52%
7458-6898 (14356)
Invested
$126.73
Value
—
PnL
-$126.73
Record
58%
38706-27758 (66464)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$114.77
Value
$129
PnL
+$14.22
Record
54%
46462-38844 (85306)
Invested
$112.51
Value
$113.61
PnL
+$1.1
Record
60%
12680-8430 (21110)
Invested
$104.82
Value
$213.91
PnL
+$109.1
Record
47%
12949-14528 (27477)
Invested
$54.85
Value
$88
PnL
+$33.15
Record
55%
7888-6448 (14336)
Invested
$75.89
Value
$80.83
PnL
+$4.94
Record
50%
37282-36733 (74015)
Invested
$148.71
Value
—
PnL
-$148.71
Record
59%
7179-5059 (12238)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.0K
Hcrystallash
Down — $1.5K
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $1.0K
uninformedfloww
Down — $681.44
1000monkeys
Down — $489.05
stepahead
Down — $476.93
sfkjbsr457
Down — $402.06
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $395.17
ply-pm0
Down — $365.9
blue.birds
Down — $337.76