Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 84%
$4.9K
$261.93
Smart Money Signal
22 of 26 top traders (85%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.01 | 59% 62663-43746 (106409) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $236.74 | $327.18 | +$90.45 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 87.6¢ | $219.43 | $234.04 | +$14.61 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $161.42 | $180.33 | +$18.91 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 83¢ | $152.78 | $155.44 | +$2.66 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 86.6¢ | $148.69 | $142.28 | -$6.41 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 74¢ | $111.02 | $150 | +$38.98 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 67.4¢ | $119.32 | $177.01 | +$57.69 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $56.53 | $75 | +$18.47 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $55.08 | $71.63 | +$16.55 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $56.05 | $57.19 | +$1.14 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $46.72 | $55.7 | +$8.98 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $46.72 | $55.62 | +$8.9 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $31.68 | $44 | +$12.32 | 60% 12577-8352 (20929) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $30.52 | $57 | +$26.48 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.7¢ | $44.83 | — | -$44.83 | 63% 1791-1051 (2842) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $23.5 | $25 | +$1.5 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $16.8 | $20.36 | +$3.56 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $14.66 | $16.66 | +$2 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $12.15 | $13.96 | +$1.81 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $5.88 | $6.26 | +$0.38 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3.48 | $4.64 | +$1.16 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $5.36 | — | -$5.36 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $3.06 | — | -$3.06 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
0X 0x9783F45CE35F794BE38cA47dD0816A5C241383B9-1766113722324CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8¢ | $7.98 | — | -$7.98 | 51% 887-868 (1755) |
Invested
$3,005
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.01
Record
59%
62663-43746 (106409)
Invested
$236.74
Value
$327.18
PnL
+$90.45
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Invested
$219.43
Value
$234.04
PnL
+$14.61
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$161.42
Value
$180.33
PnL
+$18.91
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
machinelearnedInvested
$152.78
Value
$155.44
PnL
+$2.66
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
Invested
$148.69
Value
$142.28
PnL
-$6.41
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$111.02
Value
$150
PnL
+$38.98
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$119.32
Value
$177.01
PnL
+$57.69
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
ohioism<$100Invested
$56.53
Value
$75
PnL
+$18.47
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$55.08
Value
$71.63
PnL
+$16.55
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
Invested
$56.05
Value
$57.19
PnL
+$1.14
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$46.72
Value
$55.7
PnL
+$8.98
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$46.72
Value
$55.62
PnL
+$8.9
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$31.68
Value
$44
PnL
+$12.32
Record
60%
12577-8352 (20929)
Invested
$30.52
Value
$57
PnL
+$26.48
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$44.83
Value
—
PnL
-$44.83
Record
63%
1791-1051 (2842)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.5
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.5
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$20.36
PnL
+$3.56
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$14.66
Value
$16.66
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
$12.15
Value
$13.96
PnL
+$1.81
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.26
PnL
+$0.38
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$3.48
Value
$4.64
PnL
+$1.16
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$5.36
Value
—
PnL
-$5.36
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$3.06
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
Invested
$7.98
Value
—
PnL
-$7.98
Record
51%
887-868 (1755)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $327.18
sfkjbsr457
Down — $234.04
ply-pm0
Down — $180.33
machinelearned
Down — $155.44
CrouchPredictions
Down — $142.28
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $150
13897651
Down — $177.01
ohioism
Down — $75
Little-big
Down — $71.63