Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 64%
$1.8K
$-7.5K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 22 top traders (64%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | $-7.4K | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 77.3¢ | $429.81 | $511.88 | +$82.07 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 80.2¢ | $490.74 | $499.15 | +$8.41 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 81.5¢ | $185.36 | $184.88 | -$0.48 | 55% 7784-6369 (14153) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 42.3¢ | $157.76 | — | -$157.76 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $136.74 | $143.33 | +$6.59 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 58¢ | $107.88 | $186 | +$78.12 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $95.74 | $88.01 | -$7.73 | 60% 12577-8352 (20929) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 72.5¢ | $34.32 | $47.31 | +$12.99 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $32.8 | $53 | +$20.2 | 59% 7083-4987 (12070) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $28 | $30.92 | +$2.92 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $30.5 | $25 | -$5.5 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $21.25 | $25 | +$3.75 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $16.61 | $20 | +$3.39 | 55% 24171-19504 (43675) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 96.7¢ | $19.24 | $17.23 | -$2.01 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $17.09 | — | -$17.09 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.7¢ | $14.83 | — | -$14.83 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.8¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
RO Rock.San<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $1.44 | $1.44 | +$0 | 89% 12036-1416 (13452) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.69 | — | -$0.69 | 59% 62663-43746 (106409) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
$-7.4K
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
Invested
$429.81
Value
$511.88
PnL
+$82.07
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$490.74
Value
$499.15
PnL
+$8.41
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
Invested
$185.36
Value
$184.88
PnL
-$0.48
Record
55%
7784-6369 (14153)
Invested
$157.76
Value
—
PnL
-$157.76
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$136.74
Value
$143.33
PnL
+$6.59
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$107.88
Value
$186
PnL
+$78.12
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Invested
$95.74
Value
$88.01
PnL
-$7.73
Record
60%
12577-8352 (20929)
Invested
$34.32
Value
$47.31
PnL
+$12.99
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$32.8
Value
$53
PnL
+$20.2
Record
59%
7083-4987 (12070)
Invested
$28
Value
$30.92
PnL
+$2.92
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$30.5
Value
$25
PnL
-$5.5
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
Invested
$21.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.75
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$16.61
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.39
Record
55%
24171-19504 (43675)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$19.24
Value
$17.23
PnL
-$2.01
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$17.09
Value
—
PnL
-$17.09
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$14.83
Value
—
PnL
-$14.83
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
Invested
$1.44
Value
$1.44
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
12036-1416 (13452)
Invested
$0.69
Value
—
PnL
-$0.69
Record
59%
62663-43746 (106409)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
arcsine-barrister
CTRDown — $0
CrouchPredictions
Up — $511.88
ply-pm0
Up — $499.15
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $184.88
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
sfkjbsr457
Up — $143.33
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $186
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $88.01
aaa221
Up — $47.31
13897651
Up — $53