Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 80%
$1.9K
$192.97
Smart Money Signal
20 of 26 top traders (77%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $362.82 | $446.41 | +$83.59 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $202.61 | $206.97 | +$4.36 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 72.3¢ | $169.37 | $183.72 | +$14.36 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $140.62 | $213.31 | +$72.7 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $148.5 | $150 | +$1.5 | 74% 103036-36547 (139583) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b | Downavg 67.5¢ | $94.52 | $102.98 | +$8.46 | 62% 28918-18053 (46971) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $65.22 | $97.65 | +$32.43 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.4¢ | $71.11 | — | -$71.11 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $59.4 | $60 | +$0.6 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $45.54 | $46 | +$0.46 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $45.5 | $87.5 | +$42 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $38.14 | $40 | +$1.86 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $32.75 | $52 | +$19.25 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 48.9¢ | $36.94 | $65.48 | +$28.54 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $28.8 | $40 | +$11.2 | 55% 24171-19504 (43675) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | $30.22 | $37.27 | +$7.05 | 55% 7784-6369 (14153) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $27.04 | $38.66 | +$11.63 | 60% 12577-8352 (20929) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $32.09 | $25 | -$7.09 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $24.25 | $25 | +$0.75 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.4¢ | $29 | — | -$29 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $8.5 | — | -$8.5 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $4.48 | $8 | +$3.52 | 56% 2300-1792 (4092) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.4¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.6¢ | $33.37 | — | -$33.37 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
Invested
$362.82
Value
$446.41
PnL
+$83.59
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
Invested
$202.61
Value
$206.97
PnL
+$4.36
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$169.37
Value
$183.72
PnL
+$14.36
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
pspspsps5Invested
$140.62
Value
$213.31
PnL
+$72.7
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
BoneOhioInvested
$148.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$1.5
Record
74%
103036-36547 (139583)
Invested
$94.52
Value
$102.98
PnL
+$8.46
Record
62%
28918-18053 (46971)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$65.22
Value
$97.65
PnL
+$32.43
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
Invested
$71.11
Value
—
PnL
-$71.11
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
Invested
$59.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$0.6
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Invested
$45.54
Value
$46
PnL
+$0.46
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$45.5
Value
$87.5
PnL
+$42
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$38.14
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.86
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
Invested
$32.75
Value
$52
PnL
+$19.25
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$36.94
Value
$65.48
PnL
+$28.54
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$11.2
Record
55%
24171-19504 (43675)
Invested
$30.22
Value
$37.27
PnL
+$7.05
Record
55%
7784-6369 (14153)
Invested
$27.04
Value
$38.66
PnL
+$11.63
Record
60%
12577-8352 (20929)
Invested
$32.09
Value
$25
PnL
-$7.09
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
ohioism<$100Invested
$24.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.75
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$29
Value
—
PnL
-$29
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$8.5
Value
—
PnL
-$8.5
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.52
Record
56%
2300-1792 (4092)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$33.37
Value
—
PnL
-$33.37
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Down — $446.41
sfkjbsr457
Down — $206.97
CrouchPredictions
Down — $183.72
pspspsps5
Down — $213.31
BoneOhio
Down — $150
0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b
Down — $102.98
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $97.65
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $60
asidjasiodja
Down — $46