Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 73%
$1.2K
$151.68
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700 | Upavg 48¢ | $134.88 | $281 | +$146.12 | 63% 1793-1073 (2866) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 69.8¢ | $229.08 | $227.9 | -$1.18 | 60% 12586-8357 (20943) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 68.3¢ | $136.5 | $200 | +$63.5 | 55% 8967-7399 (16366) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 74.9¢ | $206.53 | $190.48 | -$16.04 | 54% 8332-7022 (15354) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $85.31 | $70 | -$13.81 | 55% 7793-6374 (14167) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 68.5¢ | $32.2 | $46.99 | +$14.79 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 60.2¢ | $25.74 | $42.77 | +$17.03 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $21.42 | $37.58 | +$16.16 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.7¢ | $26.14 | $37.34 | +$11.2 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $20.75 | $25 | +$4.25 | 58% 61090-44611 (105701) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.2 | $10 | +$1.8 | 64% 40639-23326 (63965) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $74 | — | -$74 | 35% 19121-36132 (55253) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $12.83 | — | -$12.83 | 55% 24178-19509 (43687) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112572-59423 (171995) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4332-2383 (6715) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 73.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5585-5650 (11235) |
Invested
$134.88
Value
$281
PnL
+$146.12
Record
63%
1793-1073 (2866)
Invested
$229.08
Value
$227.9
PnL
-$1.18
Record
60%
12586-8357 (20943)
machinelearnedInvested
$136.5
Value
$200
PnL
+$63.5
Record
55%
8967-7399 (16366)
Invested
$206.53
Value
$190.48
PnL
-$16.04
Record
54%
8332-7022 (15354)
Invested
$85.31
Value
$70
PnL
-$13.81
Record
55%
7793-6374 (14167)
Invested
$32.2
Value
$46.99
PnL
+$14.79
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$25.74
Value
$42.77
PnL
+$17.03
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$21.42
Value
$37.58
PnL
+$16.16
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
$26.14
Value
$37.34
PnL
+$11.2
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$20.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.25
Record
58%
61090-44611 (105701)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.8
Record
64%
40639-23326 (63965)
Invested
$74
Value
—
PnL
-$74
Record
35%
19121-36132 (55253)
Invested
$12.83
Value
—
PnL
-$12.83
Record
55%
24178-19509 (43687)
Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112572-59423 (171995)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4332-2383 (6715)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5585-5650 (11235)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700
Up — $281
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $227.9
machinelearned
Up — $200
sfkjbsr457
Up — $190.48
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $70
asdaefef
Up — $46.99
asidjasiodja
Up — $42.77
dvasdkasodk
Up — $37.58
aaa221
Up — $37.34
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $25