Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 94%
$1.9K
$369.22
Smart Money Signal
17 of 18 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 77.7¢ | $566.08 | $644.47 | +$78.39 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
AL almach | Downavg 79¢ | $395 | $500 | +$105 | 55% 48790-40333 (89123) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 84.7¢ | $149.66 | $136.42 | -$13.23 | 54% 11305-9617 (20922) |
 ohioism | Downavg 59.8¢ | $69.56 | $116.4 | +$46.84 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78.4¢ | $39.09 | $49.88 | +$10.79 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $40.85 | $92.85 | +$52 | 54% 14576-12422 (26998) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $19.95 | $40 | +$20.05 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $28.05 | $40 | +$11.95 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $56.06 | $38.77 | -$1.07 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $37.5 | $71.59 | +$34.09 | 57% 12757-9483 (22240) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $20.65 | $26.11 | +$5.46 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.6¢ | $25.79 | $34.1 | +$8.31 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $23.44 | $32.99 | +$9.55 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $24.35 | $32.48 | +$8.13 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $15.12 | — | -$15.12 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $4.95 | $9.9 | +$4.95 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $4.35 | $5 | +$0.65 | 50% 7975-8010 (15985) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | $5 | +$2.5 | 68% 1705-798 (2503) |
Invested
$566.08
Value
$644.47
PnL
+$78.39
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$395
Value
$500
PnL
+$105
Record
55%
48790-40333 (89123)
Invested
$149.66
Value
$136.42
PnL
-$13.23
Record
54%
11305-9617 (20922)
ohioismInvested
$69.56
Value
$116.4
PnL
+$46.84
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$39.09
Value
$49.88
PnL
+$10.79
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Invested
$40.85
Value
$92.85
PnL
+$52
Record
54%
14576-12422 (26998)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$19.95
Value
$40
PnL
+$20.05
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$28.05
Value
$40
PnL
+$11.95
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$56.06
Value
$38.77
PnL
-$1.07
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$71.59
PnL
+$34.09
Record
57%
12757-9483 (22240)
Invested
$20.65
Value
$26.11
PnL
+$5.46
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$25.79
Value
$34.1
PnL
+$8.31
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$23.44
Value
$32.99
PnL
+$9.55
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$24.35
Value
$32.48
PnL
+$8.13
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$15.12
Value
—
PnL
-$15.12
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$9.9
PnL
+$4.95
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.65
Record
50%
7975-8010 (15985)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.5
Record
68%
1705-798 (2503)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $644.47
almach
Down — $500
thesidehustle
Down — $136.42
ohioism
Down — $116.4
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $49.88
tmsd-test
Down — $92.85
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $40
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $40
aaa221
Down — $38.77
wowitsamazing
Down — $71.59