Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 56%
$1.2K
-$56.39
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 74.9¢ | $725.1 | $670.03 | -$55.07 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 69.7¢ | $118.99 | $119.99 | +$1 | 54% 11305-9617 (20922) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $51.19 | $88.33 | +$37.14 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.7¢ | $56.71 | — | -$56.71 | 74% 103036-36547 (139583) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $37.06 | $55.34 | +$19.38 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $49.77 | $45.14 | -$4.63 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 57.6¢ | $43.04 | $74.7 | +$31.66 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $26.46 | $35.1 | +$8.64 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $26.06 | $35.06 | +$9 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $23.64 | $28.74 | +$5.1 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $17.55 | — | -$17.55 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $12.5 | — | -$12.5 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.2¢ | $13.3 | — | -$13.3 | 43% 655-857 (1512) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 58% 51347-37467 (88814) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 50% 7975-8010 (15985) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 68% 1705-798 (2503) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $3.84 | — | -$3.84 | 54% 14576-12422 (26998) |
Invested
$725.1
Value
$670.03
PnL
-$55.07
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$118.99
Value
$119.99
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
11305-9617 (20922)
Invested
$51.19
Value
$88.33
PnL
+$37.14
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$56.71
Value
—
PnL
-$56.71
Record
74%
103036-36547 (139583)
Invested
$37.06
Value
$55.34
PnL
+$19.38
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$49.77
Value
$45.14
PnL
-$4.63
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$43.04
Value
$74.7
PnL
+$31.66
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Invested
$26.46
Value
$35.1
PnL
+$8.64
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$26.06
Value
$35.06
PnL
+$9
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$23.64
Value
$28.74
PnL
+$5.1
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$17.55
Value
—
PnL
-$17.55
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
—
PnL
-$12.5
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$13.3
Value
—
PnL
-$13.3
Record
43%
655-857 (1512)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
58%
51347-37467 (88814)
Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
50%
7975-8010 (15985)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
68%
1705-798 (2503)
Invested
$3.84
Value
—
PnL
-$3.84
Record
54%
14576-12422 (26998)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $670.03
thesidehustle
Down — $119.99
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $88.33
BoneOhio
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $55.34
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $45.14
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $74.7
asidjasiodja
Down — $35.1
asdaefef
Down — $35.06
dvasdkasodk
Down — $28.74