Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 89%
$2.2K
$67.94
Smart Money Signal
16 of 18 top traders (89%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79.5¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | -$31.37 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 85.3¢ | $203.77 | $200.93 | -$2.84 | 54% 11305-9617 (20922) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $45.39 | $54.04 | +$8.65 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 76.8¢ | $49.9 | $65 | +$15.1 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $41.5 | $51.78 | +$10.28 | 65% 126430-67579 (194009) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $26.08 | $49.75 | +$23.67 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $33.6 | $40 | +$6.4 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $29.31 | $36.74 | +$7.43 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $24.96 | $33.77 | +$8.81 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $25.56 | $27.6 | +$2.04 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $16.08 | $24 | +$7.92 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $16.5 | $20.82 | +$4.32 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $8.99 | $17.38 | +$8.39 | 58% 51347-37467 (88814) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $12.75 | $13.78 | +$1.03 | 68% 1705-798 (2503) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 68¢ | $13.6 | $20 | +$6.4 | 50% 7975-8010 (15985) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $13.81 | $16.52 | +$2.71 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $6.99 | — | -$6.99 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
Invested
$1,590.99
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$31.37
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$203.77
Value
$200.93
PnL
-$2.84
Record
54%
11305-9617 (20922)
Invested
$45.39
Value
$54.04
PnL
+$8.65
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
Invested
$49.9
Value
$65
PnL
+$15.1
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$41.5
Value
$51.78
PnL
+$10.28
Record
65%
126430-67579 (194009)
Invested
$26.08
Value
$49.75
PnL
+$23.67
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$33.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$6.4
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Invested
$29.31
Value
$36.74
PnL
+$7.43
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
Invested
$24.96
Value
$33.77
PnL
+$8.81
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$25.56
Value
$27.6
PnL
+$2.04
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
Invested
$16.08
Value
$24
PnL
+$7.92
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$20.82
PnL
+$4.32
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$8.99
Value
$17.38
PnL
+$8.39
Record
58%
51347-37467 (88814)
Invested
$12.75
Value
$13.78
PnL
+$1.03
Record
68%
1705-798 (2503)
Invested
$13.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.4
Record
50%
7975-8010 (15985)
Invested
$13.81
Value
$16.52
PnL
+$2.71
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$6.99
Value
—
PnL
-$6.99
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.6K
thesidehustle
Down — $200.93
aaa221
Down — $54.04
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $65
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $51.78
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $49.75

G-Penis-Monster
Down — $40
asdaefef
Down — $36.74
asidjasiodja
Down — $33.77

Atomforge
Down — $27.6