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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

CR Brasil vs. Ceará SC: O/U 1.5

Resolved Over. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

19

Over 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$9.3K

Combined PnL

-$391.47

Smart Money Signal

Over

11 of 19 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over11 traders
Total Value$9.2K
Total Shares9,225
Combined PnL+$2.2K
Under8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11,534
Combined PnL$-2.6K
Over — 58%Under — 42%
DA
dartanyan150
Over

Invested

$2,489.96

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$509.99

Record

16%

5-26 (31)

JA
JabJabich
Over

Invested

$1,649.98

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$849.99

Record

34%

36-69 (105)

0X
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over

Invested

$1,534.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$15.5

Record

99%

518-7 (525)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$497.58

Value

$866.72

PnL

+$369.14

Record

38%

1175-1954 (3129)

RN1
Over

Invested

$513.49

Value

$691.45

PnL

+$177.96

Record

55%

5525-4565 (10090)

alpheclabs2
Over

Invested

$208.26

Value

$369.64

PnL

+$161.38

Record

46%

316-377 (693)

LI
LightParadoxCTR
Under

Invested

$1,368.56

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

37%

1085-1829 (2914)

dips.
Over

Invested

$71.8

Value

$137

PnL

+$65.2

Record

47%

1041-1174 (2215)

MA
MadridTimeCTR
Under

Invested

$668.49

Value

—

PnL

-$668.49

Record

38%

1094-1794 (2888)

WA
WagerWizard<$100
Over

Invested

$71.54

Value

$86.08

PnL

+$14.54

Record

44%

172-215 (387)

GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100
Under

Invested

$149.45

Value

$45.65

PnL

-$103.8

Record

53%

2249-2030 (4279)

Both legs:

Over$40.1788¢+$5.48
Under$109.2812.3¢-$109.28
VE
VenusianCTR
Under

Invested

$222.04

Value

—

PnL

-$222.04

Record

37%

1070-1834 (2904)

LI
LimousinCTR
Under

Invested

$260.54

Value

—

PnL

-$260.54

Record

37%

1064-1806 (2870)

LU
LuckyLoo<$100
Over

Invested

$16.55

Value

$22.22

PnL

+$5.67

Record

35%

520-947 (1467)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$24.4

Value

—

PnL

-$24.4

Record

47%

985-1122 (2107)

SU
suntori<$100
Over

Invested

$1.9

Value

$2.38

PnL

+$0.47

Record

46%

2852-3388 (6240)

FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$8.5

Value

—

PnL

-$8.5

Record

49%

4123-4317 (8440)

AR
ARocky33CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$6.4

Value

—

PnL

-$6.4

Record

78%

805-225 (1030)

SM
smithagentCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

45%

717-880 (1597)

ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100
Over

Invested

$68.56

Value

—

PnL

+$0.62

Record

83%

802-165 (967)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2e026aa4...164280
Slug
bra2-crb-csc-2026-11-14-total-1pt5
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