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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 2
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes48%
No52%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance50.7%
48.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.7¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$97.05
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
197.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb44dd55a...1b4d05
Slug
bitcoin-above-78k-on-november-2-2026