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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Oct 30
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes79%
No22%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance80.6%
78.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$24.01
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
124.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ae88c02...fcfc39
Slug
bitcoin-above-78k-on-october-30-2026