Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Michael Zheng — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Michael Zheng

Knoxville: Stefan Kozlov vs Michael Zheng

Resolved Michael Zheng. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Michael Zheng. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Michael Zheng 62%

Total Value

$199.8K

Combined PnL

$-7.5K

Smart Money Signal

Michael Zheng

30 of 47 top traders (64%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Stefan Kozlov0%

Michael Zheng100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Michael Zheng30 traders

Total Value$198.3K

Total Shares198,259

Combined PnL+$85.0K

Stefan Kozlov17 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares206,353

Combined PnL$-92.5K

Michael Zheng — 64%Stefan Kozlov — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465	Michael Zhengavg 40.4¢	$24.7K	$61.0K	+$36.4K	51% 3833-3620 (7453)
65 6512395314597884	Michael Zhengavg 51.7¢	$30.3K	$56.2K	+$27.8K	50% 3678-3623 (7301)
PE pelik	Michael Zhengavg 99.9¢	$25.0K	$25.0K	+$25.03	99% 1530-4 (1534)
RN1	Michael Zhengavg 48.9¢	$12.7K	$17.1K	+$4.4K	56% 5043-4004 (9047)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Michael Zhengavg 48.9¢	$7.4K	$10.9K	+$3.6K	51% 2364-2297 (4661)
TH thirdt1me	Michael Zhengavg 48.8¢	$4.5K	$8.5K	+$4.6K	48% 243-263 (506)
CA CandleHammerDrums	Michael Zhengavg 47.4¢	$5.9K	$7.3K	+$5.7K	48% 462-493 (955)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Michael Zhengavg 64¢	$3.0K	$3.1K	+$79.75	56% 4015-3133 (7148)
LO looppau	Michael Zhengavg 99.9¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$1.5	100% 592-0 (592)
LI LightParadoxCTR	Stefan Kozlovavg 50¢	$22.3K	$1.0K	$-21.3K	36% 910-1584 (2494)
XT xtxpleasecallme	Michael Zhengavg 99.9¢	$999.52	$1.0K	+$1.48	39% 3599-5657 (9256)
VeryLucky888	Michael Zhengavg 61¢	$915	$980.34	+$387.53	53% 1179-1029 (2208)
NO NotJump	Michael Zhengavg 61.1¢	$2.2K	$900.04	+$522.13	53% 750-669 (1419)
TH thestingsnake	Michael Zhengavg 89.6¢	$5.1K	$887.26	$-1.1K	33% 211-429 (640)
0xheavy888	Michael Zhengavg 61¢	$691.17	$864.32	+$337.08	54% 437-367 (804)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Michael Zhengavg 80¢	$600	$750	+$150	44% 118-151 (269)
tradecraft	Michael Zhengavg 64.7¢	$465.72	$629.97	+$164.25	29% 298-747 (1045)
LI LimousinCTR	Stefan Kozlovavg 50.8¢	$9.0K	$533.19	$-8.5K	36% 879-1566 (2445)
BA babybells	Michael Zhengavg 58.3¢	$285.15	$335.69	+$154.79	30% 196-463 (659)
TO topdogbigboi	Michael Zhengavg 46.8¢	$154.23	$323.27	+$169.04	37% 819-1385 (2204)
1L 1lovejump	Michael Zhengavg 79¢	$1.1K	$236.56	+$133.78	39% 120-191 (311)
HY hydra1248	Michael Zhengavg 62¢	$107.57	$173.5	+$65.93	76% 162-52 (214)
SE sentrio	Michael Zhengavg 47¢	$119.81	$140.5	+$20.69	43% 915-1235 (2150)
poshposh	Michael Zhengavg 51.1¢	$76.93	$132.86	+$55.93	48% 1014-1100 (2114)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Michael Zhengavg 66.4¢	$49.1	$74	+$24.9	28% 225-567 (792)

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Michael Zheng

Invested

$24,673.89

Value

$61.0K

PnL

+$36.4K

Record

51%

3833-3620 (7453)

6512395314597884

Michael Zheng

Invested

$30,275.06

Value

$56.2K

PnL

+$27.8K

Record

50%

3678-3623 (7301)

pelik

Michael Zheng

Invested

$24,999.99

Value

$25.0K

PnL

+$25.03

Record

99%

1530-4 (1534)

RN1

Michael Zheng

Invested

$12,692.43

Value

$17.1K

PnL

+$4.4K

Record

56%

5043-4004 (9047)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Michael Zheng

Invested

$7,378.33

Value

$10.9K

PnL

+$3.6K

Record

51%

2364-2297 (4661)

thirdt1me

Michael Zheng

Invested

$4,484.55

Value

$8.5K

PnL

+$4.6K

Record

48%

243-263 (506)

CandleHammerDrums

Michael Zheng

Invested

$5,941.66

Value

$7.3K

PnL

+$5.7K

Record

48%

462-493 (955)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Michael Zheng

Invested

$3,026.16

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$79.75

Record

56%

4015-3133 (7148)

looppau

Michael Zheng

Invested

$1,498.5

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$1.5

Record

100%

592-0 (592)

LightParadoxCTR

Stefan Kozlov

Invested

$22,306.02

Value

$1.0K

PnL

$-21.3K

Record

36%

910-1584 (2494)

xtxpleasecallme

Michael Zheng

Invested

$999.52

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$1.48

Record

39%

3599-5657 (9256)

VeryLucky888

Michael Zheng

Invested

$915

Value

$980.34

PnL

+$387.53

Record

53%

1179-1029 (2208)

NotJump

Michael Zheng

Invested

$2,161.05

Value

$900.04

PnL

+$522.13

Record

53%

750-669 (1419)

thestingsnake

Michael Zheng

Invested

$5,145.3

Value

$887.26

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

33%

211-429 (640)

0xheavy888

Michael Zheng

Invested

$691.17

Value

$864.32

PnL

+$337.08

Record

54%

437-367 (804)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Michael Zheng

Invested

$600

Value

$750

PnL

+$150

Record

44%

118-151 (269)

tradecraft

Michael Zheng

Invested

$465.72

Value

$629.97

PnL

+$164.25

Record

29%

298-747 (1045)

LimousinCTR

Stefan Kozlov

Invested

$8,984.44

Value

$533.19

PnL

$-8.5K

Record

36%

879-1566 (2445)

babybells

Michael Zheng

Invested

$285.15

Value

$335.69

PnL

+$154.79

Record

30%

196-463 (659)

topdogbigboi

Michael Zheng

Invested

$154.23

Value

$323.27

PnL

+$169.04

Record

37%

819-1385 (2204)

1lovejump

Michael Zheng

Invested

$1,053.99

Value

$236.56

PnL

+$133.78

Record

39%

120-191 (311)

hydra1248

Michael Zheng

Invested

$107.57

Value

$173.5

PnL

+$65.93

Record

76%

162-52 (214)

sentrio

Michael Zheng

Invested

$119.81

Value

$140.5

PnL

+$20.69

Record

43%

915-1235 (2150)

poshposh

Michael Zheng

Invested

$76.93

Value

$132.86

PnL

+$55.93

Record

48%

1014-1100 (2114)

BillBenter2026<$100

Michael Zheng

Invested

$49.1

Value

$74

PnL

+$24.9

Record

28%

225-567 (792)

Smart Money Signal

Michael Zheng

30 of 47 top traders (64%)17 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xd620a8fb...ca78b7

Slug

atp-kozlov-zheng-2026-11-13

Traders in this Market

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465

Michael Zheng — $61.0K

+$36.4K

6512395314597884

Michael Zheng — $56.2K

+$27.8K

pelik

Michael Zheng — $25.0K

+$25.03

RN1

Michael Zheng — $17.1K

+$4.4K

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Michael Zheng — $10.9K

+$3.6K

thirdt1me

Michael Zheng — $8.5K

+$4.6K

CandleHammerDrums

Michael Zheng — $7.3K

+$5.7K

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Michael Zheng — $3.1K

+$79.75

looppau

Michael Zheng — $1.5K

+$1.5

LightParadox

CTR

Stefan Kozlov — $1.0K

$-21.3K

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