Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Angola vs. South Sudan: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
18
Under 56%
$5.0K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JA JabJabich | Overavg 52¢ | $1.8K | $3.5K | +$1.7K | 34% 36-69 (105) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 44.2¢ | $3.3K | — | $-3.3K | 49% 4123-4317 (8440) |
 CoinTrick | Overavg 99.9¢ | $969.03 | $970 | +$0.97 | 99% 277-1 (278) |
 RN1 | Overavg 1¢ | $2.61 | $261.04 | +$258.43 | 55% 5525-4565 (10090) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 77.1¢ | $145.63 | $124.01 | -$21.62 | 53% 2249-2030 (4279) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 96¢ | $47.04 | $49 | +$1.96 | 44% 172-215 (387) |
LI Limousin<$100 | Overavg 26.4¢ | $10.1 | $38.27 | +$28.17 | 37% 1064-1806 (2870) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 20¢ | $204.83 | — | -$204.83 | 37% 1070-1834 (2904) |
NO NotJump<$100 | Overavg 99.1¢ | $14.02 | $14.15 | +$0.13 | 51% 917-874 (1791) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Underavg 1¢ | $10 | — | -$10 | 3% 9-299 (308) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 29¢ | $15.36 | — | -$15.36 | 37% 1085-1829 (2914) |
 dips.CTR | Underavg 68.7¢ | $284.28 | — | -$284.28 | 47% 1041-1174 (2215) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 79¢ | $1.9 | $2.41 | +$0.51 | 46% 2852-3388 (6240) |
SU suitcase6628CTR<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $69 | — | -$69 | 65% 646-351 (997) |
SM smithagentCTR<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $69 | — | -$69 | 45% 717-880 (1597) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $15.76 | — | -$15.76 | 49% 1233-1293 (2526) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 74¢ | $46.68 | — | -$46.68 | 53% 7213-6305 (13518) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 32.2¢ | $3.54 | — | -$3.54 | 48% 2245-2407 (4652) |
Invested
$1,820
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$1.7K
Record
34%
36-69 (105)
Invested
$3,341.41
Value
—
PnL
$-3.3K
Record
49%
4123-4317 (8440)
CoinTrickInvested
$969.03
Value
$970
PnL
+$0.97
Record
99%
277-1 (278)
RN1Invested
$2.61
Value
$261.04
PnL
+$258.43
Record
55%
5525-4565 (10090)
Invested
$145.63
Value
$124.01
PnL
-$21.62
Record
53%
2249-2030 (4279)
Invested
$47.04
Value
$49
PnL
+$1.96
Record
44%
172-215 (387)
Invested
$10.1
Value
$38.27
PnL
+$28.17
Record
37%
1064-1806 (2870)
Invested
$204.83
Value
—
PnL
-$204.83
Record
37%
1070-1834 (2904)
Invested
$14.02
Value
$14.15
PnL
+$0.13
Record
51%
917-874 (1791)
Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
3%
9-299 (308)
Invested
$15.36
Value
—
PnL
-$15.36
Record
37%
1085-1829 (2914)
dips.CTRInvested
$284.28
Value
—
PnL
-$284.28
Record
47%
1041-1174 (2215)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$2.41
PnL
+$0.51
Record
46%
2852-3388 (6240)
Invested
$69
Value
—
PnL
-$69
Record
65%
646-351 (997)
Invested
$69
Value
—
PnL
-$69
Record
45%
717-880 (1597)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$15.76
Value
—
PnL
-$15.76
Record
49%
1233-1293 (2526)
Invested
$46.68
Value
—
PnL
-$46.68
Record
53%
7213-6305 (13518)
Invested
$3.54
Value
—
PnL
-$3.54
Record
48%
2245-2407 (4652)