Known as AlanCurtis since Nov 14 2026 · Previously known as: AlanCurtis (Nov 9 – Nov 14 2026)
Consensus PnL $62 · win rate 100% (1–0, n=1) · PM monthly #982 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$61.6
Record
1W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 1 settled
Batting Avg
80.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#174
Source
PM monthly #982
Record (90 d)
1/1 · 100%
Trades
60
Markets
12
Volume
$33.5K
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Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 3 on the consensus side (33%)- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No $5.8K · now 99¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (95% of 37)
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes $6 · now 19¢ · in at 14¢against the consensus (No)
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes $3 · now 2¢ · in at 5¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 54¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where AlanCurtis's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.