Consensus PnL $137K · win rate 58% (64–47, n=111) · PM monthly #149 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$136.5K
Record
64W / 47L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 111 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1290
Source
PM monthly #149
Trades
7
Markets
116
Volume
$727.8K
Specialties
70 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+45 pts
side won 96% of 49 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +40%
- Soccer
+43 pts
side won 93% of 14 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 88% of 25)
- 50–70¢: 64%(won 100% of 45)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.