PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9e8eddeb4a1261ba9c7530a0386202cb6c12d006TheReturnOfDarthMaulRock.San
Record (consensus markets)55% (58–48, n=106)66% (284–146, n=430)93% (10433–733, n=11166)
Consensus PnL-$1.1K$1.8M$166K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #77was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (48 of 61 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicTennis −2 pts, n=77Crypto −4 pts, n=84Crypto −1 pts, n=3873
Settled positions, side won96% of 77 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%62% of 416 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%93% of 8787 at avg 93¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 9% of 119)5% (won 7% of 420)
Entries 30–50¢0%11% (won 49% of 47)2% (won 30% of 135)
Entries 50–70¢0%10% (won 83% of 41)2% (won 56% of 195)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 97% of 76)50% (won 90% of 209)91% (won 99% of 8037)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.