PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (88–49, n=137)65% (345–184, n=529)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL—$61K$557K$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #697PM monthly #309was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +39 pts n=57, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=45, ROI +3%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=12, ROI +23%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—79% of 120 at avg 46¢, ROI +20%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 36% of 14)20% (won 14% of 151)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 72% of 39)11% (won 34% of 82)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 92% of 66)19% (won 66% of 144)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 1)51% (won 93% of 390)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.