PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
turoCORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (379–224, n=603)69% (43–19, n=62)
Consensus PnL—$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #811PM monthly #88was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91
Settled positions, side won75% of 24 at avg 74¢, ROI −5%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 0% of 2)55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 4)34% (won 100% of 128)54% (won 52% of 114)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 82% of 17)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.