← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tnmh | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (516–628, n=1144) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.8M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #696 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 66% (29 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 530 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 83% of 54) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 35% (won 98% of 188) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 34% (won 99% of 182) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 106) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tnmh | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $451K | — | Yes $172K | — |