PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sportteryqqhoodquantNiNo999humbleboy
Record (consensus markets)46% (341–399, n=740)95% (19883–991, n=20874)89% (448–56, n=504)67% (386–194, n=580)
Consensus PnL$61K$18K$9.6M$172K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #904PM monthly #584was PM monthly #985PM monthly #256
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 340 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 35)0% (won 15% of 26)7% (won 81% of 37)5% (won 47% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 99% of 142)1% (won 28% of 78)39% (won 85% of 197)42% (won 60% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 98% of 121)1% (won 54% of 94)49% (won 94% of 244)45% (won 75% of 279)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 42)98% (won 99% of 12059)5% (won 96% of 24)8% (won 92% of 50)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.