PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
texastechboosterBreakTheBankNiNo999
Record (consensus markets)46% (115–133, n=248)67% (450–220, n=670)89% (447–56, n=503)
Consensus PnL$79K$9.1M$9.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #940PM monthly #1was PM monthly #985
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)75% (46 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=153, ROI +2%
  • NHL +8 pts n=14, ROI −14%
  • NFL +51 pts n=105, ROI +51%
  • NBA +51 pts n=48, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
Weakest topicSoccer −9 pts, n=46——
Settled positions, side won47% of 250 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%97% of 468 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 18% of 44)11% (won 87% of 52)7% (won 81% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 47% of 88)35% (won 98% of 162)39% (won 85% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 53% of 101)32% (won 99% of 152)49% (won 94% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 17)22% (won 100% of 102)5% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.