PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (250–12, n=262)49% (645–662, n=1307)
Consensus PnL—$129K$526K
Tracked asPM monthly #290PM monthly #650was PM monthly #629
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Mentions −14 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won74% of 23 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%55% of 1257 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 43% of 7)6% (won 83% of 18)27% (won 18% of 337)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 75% of 4)29% (won 97% of 88)36% (won 58% of 455)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 50% of 2)63% (won 98% of 190)30% (won 75% of 371)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 10)3% (won 100% of 8)7% (won 87% of 94)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.