PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoney0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-17630234162390xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (229–160, n=389)92% (705–64, n=769)
Consensus PnL—$863K$14.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #974was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +33 pts n=329, ROI +41%
  • Soccer +15 pts n=14, ROI +20%
  • MLB +7 pts n=13, ROI +13%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—76% of 362 at avg 45¢, ROI +39%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 51% of 35)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—56% (won 77% of 202)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 78% of 111)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 14)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.