PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoney0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162rated
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (1081–60, n=1141)46% (224–264, n=488)
Consensus PnL—$42K-$1.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #897Hand-pickedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position46% (13 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Science −5 pts, n=11MLB −2 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won—98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%98% of 5149 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 29% of 17)5% (won 75% of 271)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 69% of 13)1% (won 66% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 80% of 30)2% (won 90% of 100)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 99% of 1306)92% (won 100% of 4713)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.