PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
taxmoney0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945primmLonnieHawkins
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (533–28, n=561)49% (768–785, n=1553)49% (1244–1296, n=2540)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$3.4M$326K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #957PM monthly #23PM monthly #112
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1123, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI +3%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%99% of 737 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 85% of 20)5% (won 93% of 40)16% (won 31% of 182)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 97% of 88)41% (won 99% of 303)13% (won 59% of 148)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 97% of 187)49% (won 99% of 362)17% (won 76% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up—65% (won 99% of 551)4% (won 100% of 32)54% (won 94% of 621)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.